Ad Disclosure
Eagles at Cowboys Odds & Predictions: Betting Preview for Week 12
Published:
A storied NFC East rivalry is renewed as the Eagles travel to Jerry World to face the Dallas Cowboys in a pivotal divisional showdown. This matchup presents a fascinating clash of offensive philosophies, with the Eagles building their success on discipline and efficiency while boasting an impressive +7 turnover differential and a clinical 75.0% red zone conversion rate. With premier weapons like DeVonta Smith and Saquon Barkley, the Birds excel at capitalizing on every scoring opportunity.
On the other side, the Cowboys field a high-octane offense that puts up a potent 29.0 points per game. The connection between quarterback Dak Prescott and star receiver CeeDee Lamb has been explosive, but it comes at a cost, as Dallas carries a concerning -4 turnover differential.
This classic rivalry showdown is set for Sunday, November 23rd, with kickoff scheduled for 4:25 PM EST from AT&T Stadium. Adding intrigue to this rematch is the lingering “Spitgate” drama from their Week 1 encounter, where Eagles defensive lineman Jalen Carter was ejected for spitting on Prescott during a heated moment. With Carter seeking redemption and the Cowboys looking to stay in the playoff hunt, this preview will dissect the statistical advantages, key player matchups, and what to expect when these NFC East foes collide.
Philadelphia Eagles vs Dallas Cowboys Odds
The betting markets have positioned the visiting Eagles as the favorites in this divisional clash. Philadelphia is favored by a field goal, with the game total set at 47.5 points, pointing toward a competitive and moderately high-scoring affair.
| Bet Type | Philadelphia Eagles | Dallas Cowboys |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -3 (-105) | +3 (-115) |
| Moneyline | -160 | +135 |
| Total Points | Over 47.5 (-110) | Under 47.5 (-110) |
Odds courtesy of Bet365.US.NJ
Reflecting their favorite status, a successful $10 moneyline bet on the Eagles at -160 would yield a profit of $6.25. In contrast, oddsmakers view Dallas as the underdog at home. A successful $10 wager on the Cowboys moneyline at +135 would result in a more substantial profit of $13.50.
Statistical Breakdown: Eagles vs Cowboys Team Comparison
When these NFC East titans clash, the game often comes down to which team can better impose its statistical will. Dallas enters this matchup with a significant advantage in offensive firepower, generating more yards and points per game. However, Philadelphia counters with superior efficiency and a decisive edge in the turnover battle. The tale of the tape reveals a classic showdown between explosive production and disciplined execution.
| Statistic | Philadelphia Eagles | Dallas Cowboys |
|---|---|---|
| Points Per Game | 23.4 | 29.0 |
| Total Yards Per Game | 300.1 | 378.7 |
| Passing Yards Per Game | 184.9 | 258.7 |
| Rushing Yards Per Game | 115.2 | 120.0 |
| Turnover Differential | +7 | -4 |
| Sacks | 21.0 | 24.0 |
| Red Zone TD % (Offense) | 75.0% | 61.5% |
| 3rd Down Conv. % (Offense) | 33.9% | 42.7% |
Key Statistical Mismatches
This game presents a fascinating clash of strengths. Dallas’s high-volume offense, which puts up a potent 29.0 points per game, will go head-to-head with an opportunistic Eagles defense. While Philadelphia protects the ball exceptionally well (only 4 turnovers all season), their defense has been adept at creating takeaways, contributing to a +7 turnover differential. The Cowboys’ offense, which has committed 12 turnovers, will need to prioritize ball security against a defense designed to capitalize on mistakes.
Conversely, the Eagles’ offense thrives on clinical efficiency rather than raw yardage. Their greatest strength is finishing drives, as evidenced by their phenomenal 75.0% touchdown conversion rate in the red zone. This disciplined unit will face a Cowboys defense that has been effective at generating pressure, accumulating 24.0 sacks on the season. The pivotal question is whether Dallas’s pass rush can disrupt Philadelphia’s rhythm before they reach the red zone, where the Eagles have proven to be nearly unstoppable.
Quarterback Duel: Hurts vs Prescott Statistical Matchup
This NFC East showdown features a compelling quarterback matchup, pitting Prescott’s high-volume passing attack against Hurts’ model of dual-threat efficiency. While Prescott leads in raw passing numbers, Hurts counters with elite decision-making and a superior passer rating, setting the stage for a battle of contrasting quarterbacking styles.
| Statistic | Jalen Hurts (PHI) | Dak Prescott (DAL) |
|---|---|---|
| Passer Rating | 107.0 | 102.5 |
| Passing Yds / Game | 199.5 | 258.7 |
| Passing TDs / Game | 1.6 | 2.1 |
| Completion % | 66.9% | 69.9% |
| Interceptions / Game | 0.1 | 0.6 |
Tale of the Tape
The statistics reveal two quarterbacks at the top of their game, albeit with different approaches. Dak Prescott is the engine of Dallas’s explosive offense, averaging a prolific 258.7 passing yards and 2.1 touchdowns per game. His high completion rate (69.9%) demonstrates his accuracy, but his willingness to push the ball downfield comes with risk, as shown by his average of 0.6 interceptions per contest.
Jalen Hurts pilots the Eagles’ offense with remarkable efficiency. While his passing yardage is more modest at 199.5 yards per game, he boasts a stellar 107.0 passer rating and protects the football exceptionally well, throwing just 0.1 interceptions per game. His value extends beyond the pocket, as his rushing ability is a cornerstone of Philadelphia’s dominant red zone offense.
Key Player Props
Jalen Hurts (PHI)
- Passing Yards: Over/Under 211.5
- Passing TDs: Over/Under 1.5
- Rushing Yards: Over/Under 29.5
Dak Prescott (DAL)
- Passing Yards: Over/Under 245.5
- Passing TDs: Over/Under 1.5
- To Throw an Interception: Yes (-146) / No (+112)
Eagles vs Cowboys Betting Trends Analysis
Recent betting trends provide a sharp, data-driven lens for this specific matchup. The data reveals compelling patterns for both teams, particularly concerning their performance on the road, as favorites/underdogs, and against quality opponents.
Philadelphia’s Favorable Trends
The betting trends paint a picture of a Philadelphia team that thrives in the exact conditions of this matchup:
- As Favorites: The Eagles are 12-2 (.857) straight-up in their last 14 games as a favorite and 8-1 (.889) when favored by fewer than seven points.
- On the Road: Traveling has not slowed Philadelphia down. They are 4-1 (.800) both straight-up and against the spread in their last five road games.
- Riding Momentum: Philadelphia has excelled at stringing together victories, going 11-1 (.917) straight-up in their last 12 games following a win.
Dallas’s Struggles in Key Situations
Conversely, the trends for Dallas highlight significant struggles in situations that mirror this upcoming game:
- As Underdogs: Dallas is just 1-4-1 (.167) straight-up in their last six games as an underdog.
- At Home vs. Winners: AT&T Stadium has not been a fortress against top competition. The Cowboys are a concerning 1-6-1 (.125) straight-up in their last eight home games against opponents with a winning record.
Over/Under Insights
Both teams have been involved in high-scoring affairs recently, suggesting the Over 47.5 total could be in play:
- The over has hit in 6 of the last 7 Cowboys games against opponents with a winning record.
- Similarly, the over has hit in 5 of the last 6 Eagles games when they are a road favorite.
Injury Impact Analysis
The most significant injury to watch is Eagles tackle Lane Johnson, who is out. An Eagles offensive line without Johnson is more vulnerable to a Cowboys pass rush that has already recorded 24.0 sacks this season.
For Dallas, edge rusher Jadeveon Clowney was limited in practice with a shoulder injury. While he may still play, any limitation could weaken the pass rush and make it more difficult to contain Hurts. Quarterback Dak Prescott was listed with a hip injury but was a full participant in practice, indicating he should be at full strength for the contest.
Eagles vs Cowboys Expert Picks & Betting Predictions
This game boils down to a fundamental question: can Dallas’s high-volume offense avoid the critical mistakes that Philadelphia’s efficient, opportunistic style is built to punish? While the Cowboys have the firepower to score in bunches, their track record at home against quality opponents is deeply concerning.
The betting trends reveal a stark contrast. Dallas is just 1-6-1 straight-up in their last eight home games against opponents with a winning record, a trend that directly challenges their ability to defend their home turf in big games. Conversely, Philadelphia thrives in these exact spots, boasting a 12-2 straight-up record in their last 14 games as a favorite.
Given the Eagles’ decisive +7 turnover differential against Dallas’s -4, Philadelphia is built to win the possession battle. Expect Hurts and the Eagles’ clinical red zone offense (75.0% TD rate) to convert takeaways into points, proving to be the difference-maker.
Best Bets
Moneyline Pick: Eagles (-160)
- Justification: The Eagles are 11-1 straight-up following a win, and Dallas has a dismal 1-6-1 record at home against winning teams. Trust the more disciplined team to win outright.
Total Pick: Over 47.5 (-110)
- Justification: The over has hit in 6 of the last 7 Cowboys games against teams with a winning record. Both offenses have the means to contribute, pushing this game past the total.
Best Prop Bet: Dak Prescott To Throw an Interception (-146)
- Justification: This plays directly into the game’s biggest statistical mismatch. The Eagles’ defense has forced 11 takeaways, fueling their +7 turnover differential, while Dallas’s offense has committed 12 turnovers this season.
Bet now with a DraftKings promo code.
disclaimer: AI helped in the creation of this story