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Eagles vs 49ers Wild Card Player Props: Best Bets & Playoff Predictions
By Chris Wright
Published:
The prelims are over. The Eagles open their title defense Sunday in a Wild Card game against the visiting San Francisco 49ers. Kickoff is set for 4:30 pm, ET (FOX) at the Linc.
The Birds are trying to become the 10th NFL team to repeat as Super Bowl champion — and avoid becoming the fifth reigning champ to bow out in the Wild Card round the following season:
| SEASON | SUPER BOWL | WINNER | NEXT YEAR |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 59 | Philadelphia Eagles | TBD |
| 2023 | 58 | Kansas City Chiefs | Missed playoffs |
| 2022 | 57 | Kansas City Chiefs | Won Super Bowl |
| 2021 | 56 | Los Angeles Rams | Missed playoffs |
| 2020 | 55 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Lost Division Round |
| 2019 | 54 | Kansas City Chiefs | Lost Super Bowl |
| 2018 | 53 | New England Patriots | Lost Wild Card |
| 2017 | 52 | Philadelphia Eagles | Lost Division Round |
| 2016 | 51 | New England Patriots | Lost Super Bowl |
| 2015 | 50 | Denver Broncos | Missed playoffs |
| 2014 | 49 | New England Patriots | Lost AFC Championship |
| 2013 | 48 | Seattle Seahawks | Lost Super Bowl |
| 2012 | 47 | Baltimore Ravens | Missed playoffs |
| 2011 | 46 | New York Giants | Missed playoffs |
| 2010 | 45 | Green Bay Packers | Lost Division Round |
| 2009 | 44 | New Orleans Saints | Lost Wild Card |
| 2008 | 43 | Pittsburgh Steelers | Missed playoffs |
| 2007 | 42 | New York Giants | Lost Division Round |
| 2006 | 41 | Indianapolis Colts | Lost Division Round |
| 2005 | 40 | Pittsburgh Steelers | Missed playoffs |
| 2004 | 39 | New England Patriots | Lost Division Round |
| 2003 | 38 | New England Patriots | Won Super Bowl |
| 2002 | 37 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Missed playoffs |
| 2001 | 36 | New England Patriots | Missed playoffs |
| 2000 | 35 | Baltimore Ravens | Lost Division |
| 1999 | 34 | St. Louis Rams | Missed playoffs |
| 1998 | 33 | Denver Broncos | Missed playoffs |
| 1997 | 32 | Denver Broncos | Won Super Bowl |
| 1996 | 31 | Green Bay Packers | Lost Super Bowl |
| 1995 | 30 | Dallas Cowboys | Lost Division Round |
| 1994 | 29 | San Francisco 49ers | Lost Division Round |
| 1993 | 28 | Dallas Cowboys | Lost NFC Championship |
| 1992 | 27 | Dallas Cowboys | Won Super Bowl |
| 1991 | 26 | Washington Redskins | Lost Division Round |
| 1990 | 25 | New York Giants | Missed playoffs |
| 1989 | 24 | San Francisco 49ers | Lost NFC Championship |
| 1988 | 23 | San Francisco 49ers | Won Super Bowl |
| 1987 | 22 | Washington Redskins | Missed playoffs |
| 1986 | 21 | New York Giants | Missed playoffs |
| 1985 | 20 | Chicago Bears | Lost Division Round |
| 1984 | 19 | San Francisco 49ers | Lost Wild Card |
| 1983 | 18 | Oakland Raiders | Lost Wild Card |
| 1982 | 17 | Washington Redskins | Lost Super Bowl |
| 1981 | 16 | San Francisco 49ers | Missed playoffs |
| 1980 | 15 | Oakland Raiders | Missed playoffs |
| 1979 | 14 | Pittsburgh Steelers | Missed playoffs |
| 1978 | 13 | Pittsburgh Steelers | Won Super Bowl |
| 1977 | 12 | Dallas Cowboys | Lost Super Bowl |
| 1976 | 11 | Oakland Raiders | Lost AFC Championship |
| 1975 | 10 | Pittsburgh Steelers | Lost AFC Championship |
| 1974 | 9 | Pittsburgh Steelers | Won Super Bowl |
| 1973 | 8 | Miami Dolphins | Lost Division Round |
| 1972 | 7 | Miami Dolphins | Won Super Bowl |
| 1971 | 6 | Dallas Cowboys | Lost NFC Championship |
| 1970 | 5 | Baltimore Colts | Lost AFC Championship |
| 1969 | 4 | Kansas City Chiefs | Missed playoffs |
| 1968 | 3 | New York Jets | Lost Division Round |
| 1967 | 2 | Green Bay Packers | Missed playoffs |
| 1966 | 1 | Green Bay Packers | Won Super Bowl |
We break down the matchup, explore betting angles, and offer the best bets.
NFL Player Props Analysis: 49ers vs Eagles Wild Card
Passing Props: Quarterback Battle Under Pressure
| Player | Passing Yards | Pass Completions | Passing TDs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brock Purdy (SF) | 226.5 (Over -109) | 20.5 (Over -128) | 1.5 (Over +128) |
| Jalen Hurts (PHI) | 208.5 (Over -113) | 19.5 (Over -107) | 1.5 (Over -107) |
The quarterback prop markets reveal significant skepticism surrounding both QBs. Brock Purdy’s passing yards total has experienced a dramatic correction, falling from an opening line of 235.5 down to 226.5 yards. More telling is the massive swing in his touchdown prop, where the Over flipped from -116 to +128, indicating strong belief he’ll struggle to find the end zone. His completions line also dropped from 21.5 to 20.5, suggesting expectations for either a ground-heavy game plan or defensive pressure limiting his efficiency.
Jalen Hurts presents a contrasting profile. His yardage line climbed slightly from 206.5 to 208.5, while his completions decreased from 20.5 to 19.5. This movement suggests bettors anticipate more aggressive downfield attempts rather than volume-based short passing.
Bottom line: Both quarterbacks’ prop markets are particularly volatile.
Rushing & Receiving Props
| Player | Rushing Yards | Rushing Attempts | Receiving Yards | Receptions |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian McCaffrey (SF) | 57.5 | 17.5 | 45.5 | 5.5 |
| George Kittle (SF) | – | – | 59.5 | 5.5 |
| Jauan Jennings (SF) | – | – | 45.5 | 3.5 |
| Ricky Pearsall (SF) | – | – | 37.5 | 2.5 |
| Saquon Barkley (PHI) | 81.5 | 18.5 | 15.5 | 2.5 |
| A.J. Brown (PHI) | – | – | 66.5 | 5.5 |
| DeVonta Smith (PHI) | – | – | 55.5 | 4.5 |
| Dallas Goedert (PHI) | – | – | 39.5 | 4.5 |
The most striking movement centers on Christian McCaffrey’s rushing total, which plummeted eight yards from its opening of 65.5 to just 57.5 yards. This substantial correction reflects market concern about the Eagles’ defensive front neutralizing San Francisco’s top offensive weapon. Conversely, his receiving prop climbed from 42.5 to 45.5 yards, indicating expectations he’ll be used more in the passing game.
Saquon Barkley’s props tell a fascinating dual story. His rushing line dropped from 85.5 to 81.5 yards, but his receiving total surged dramatically from 9.5 to 15.5 yards. This six-yard increase suggests the Eagles plan to utilize Barkley as a receiving threat. It’s worth noting that Barkley has topped 15 yards receiving just 6 times this season — with a high of 58 yards in the Eagles’ Week 5 loss to Denver.
Among receivers, Jauan Jennings has gained market confidence with his yards climbing from 38.5 to 45.5.
Touchdown Scorer Props
| Player | Anytime TD Scorer | First TD Scorer |
|---|---|---|
| Christian McCaffrey (SF) | -133 | +525 |
| George Kittle (SF) | +182 | +1100 |
| Jauan Jennings (SF) | +250 | +1433 |
| Ricky Pearsall (SF) | +367 | +2067 |
| Brock Purdy (SF) | +592 | +2800 |
| Kyle Juszczyk (SF) | +1300 | +5833 |
| Saquon Barkley (PHI) | -125 | +505 |
| Jalen Hurts (PHI) | +114 | +658 |
| A.J. Brown (PHI) | +148 | +783 |
| Dallas Goedert (PHI) | +192 | +983 |
| DeVonta Smith (PHI) | +192 | +1017 |
| Tank Bigsby (PHI) | +783 | +4500 |
The touchdown markets clearly establish McCaffrey (-133) and Barkley (-125) as the primary scoring threats. Jalen Hurts follows at +114, reflecting his signature goal-line rushing ability. Among receivers, George Kittle’s anytime touchdown odds drifted from +165 to +182, while Jennings’ price lengthened from +190 to +250, creating potential value opportunities.
Player Betting Trends: Playoff Performance Indicators
- McCaffrey’s Playoff Rushing Excellence: His reduced 57.5-yard line is potentially exploitable despite the market correction.
- Hurts’ Red Zone Dominance: His TD rushes are down this season (8, from 14 a year ago), but his rushing prowess in the red zone supports his +114 anytime touchdown odds.
- Barkley’s Receiving Surge: When used as a receiver in high-leverage games, Barkley is expected to exceed 15 receiving yards, validating the dramatic line movement from 9.5 to 15.5 yards.
- Kittle’s Playoff Target Share: Kittle is often a primary target, suggesting his 5.5 receptions line could offer value despite the ankle injury concerns.
- Purdy’s Touchdown Struggles: Against top-tier defenses in playoff scenarios, Purdy has been perceived to struggle to throw 2+ touchdown passes, supporting the bearish sentiment on his 1.5 touchdown total.
Top Player Props & Wild Card Predictions
This wild card matchup presents unique betting opportunities –
Primary Pick: Saquon Barkley Over 15.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
The market movement on Barkley’s receiving prop is compelling. The line’s surge from 9.5 to 15.5 yards reflects sharp money recognizing Philadelphia’s likely game plan against San Francisco’s inexperienced defense. Expect Hurts and the Eagles to lean on their most reliable weapon through quick, high-percentage throws.
Game Script Support: As a five-point home favorite, the Eagles project to control game flow, leading to more checkdown opportunities in the second half.
Secondary Pick: Brock Purdy Under 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-169)
The market’s dramatic reversal on Purdy’s touchdown prop, flipping from -116 to +128 on the Over, reflects legitimate concerns about his red zone efficiency against the Eagles’ defense.
Supporting Factors:
- In 6 career playoff games, Purdy has thrown 2 or more TD passes just once. San Francisco is 4-2 in those games, reinforcing Purdy’s reputation as a game-manager.
- San Francisco’s red zone offense runs through McCaffrey, who carries -133 anytime touchdown odds
- The game total drop from 46.5 to 44.5 suggests a lower-scoring affair favoring ground-based scoring
Same Game Parlay Construction
| Leg | Selection | Odds | Strategic Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saquon Barkley Over 15.5 Receiving Yards | -114 | Quick game utilization against inexperienced coverage |
| 2 | Jalen Hurts Anytime TD Scorer | +114 | Goal-line rushing prowess in playoff situations |
| 3 | A.J. Brown Over 66.5 Receiving Yards | -114 | Primary target |
This correlated parlay builds on Philadelphia’s home playoff advantage and offensive hierarchy. If the Eagles cover the 5.5-point spread, these three components represent the most likely path to victory: Barkley as the safety valve, Hurts finishing drives, and Brown exploiting mismatches downfield.
Injury Report: Key Players’ Availability for Wild Card
The injury landscape significantly impacts prop betting strategy, with 22 total players appearing on both teams’ reports heading into this crucial wild card matchup. Among the names on the final reports are:
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Status | Fantasy/Betting Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricky Pearsall (SF) | WR | Knee | questionable (did not practice this week) | Absence funnels targets to Kittle and Jennings, validating market trends |
| Luke Gifford (SF) | LB | Quadricep | questionable | Weakens run defense, potentially benefiting Barkley’s rushing props |
| Dee Winters (SF) | LB | Ankle | questionable | Second linebacker absence creates major vulnerability |
| Trent Williams (SF) | T | hamstring | questionable | big loss for San Francisco if he can’t go |
| Lane Johnson (PHI) | T | Foot | Limited Participation / questionable (Fri) | one of the game’s best tackles |
| Brett Toth (PHI) | C | concussion | Limited Participation / questionable (Fri) | backup center and swing lineman |
San Francisco listed every player on the report as “questionable” and has some injury concerns at receiver and linebacker. Pearsall’s likely absence coincides with increased market confidence in Jauan Jennings’ receiving props. Philadelphia’s ground attack could expose the 49ers’ depth.
Philadelphia’s concerns center on the trenches, where Jalen Carter and Lane Johnson are not 100%.
49ers vs Eagles Wild Card Odds
• Moneyline: Philadelphia Eagles -246, San Francisco 49ers +201
• Point Spread: Philadelphia Eagles -5.5 (-108), San Francisco 49ers +5.5 (-112)
• Game Total: Over 44.5 (-108) / Under 44.5 (-111)
Odds a consensus from legal sportsbooks
The betting market has demonstrated strong confidence in Philadelphia’s playoff prospects, with the Eagles’ moneyline strengthening from an opening -192 to the current -246. The point spread has moved decisively from Eagles -3.5 to -5.5 at some books, reflecting belief in a comfortable home victory. Most significant, the game total’s drop from 46.5 to 44.5 points aligns with expectations for a defensive struggle.
Ahead of the Wild Card round, equip yourself with the latest PA betting promos and NJ sportsbook promos.
Chris Wright is a 30-time APSE award-winning MLB, NBA and college editor with previous stints at the Tampa Bay Times, Miami Herald, The Indianapolis Star and News & Observer. He vacationed at the Vet, believes Chase Utley is a HOFer and moved to Clearwater to watch the Phillies year-round. His magazine portfolio includes working as a writer and editor at Baseball America. He has decades of experience leading award-winning coverage of the NBA, Major League Baseball, College Baseball, College Basketball, College Football, and the ATP and WTA tennis tours. He has contributed to highly successful NFL coverage as well. Over the course of his career, Chris' team of writers has covered 4 men's Final Fours, 2 Super Bowls, 1 MLB World Series, dozens of professional tennis tournaments and NCAA championships in football and baseball. Chris joined Saturday Down South in 2015 and quickly was promoted to Executive Editor, where he successfully helped build the staff and directed college football, college basketball and college baseball coverage for 10 years. Under Chris' leadership and mentoring, Saturday Down South grew into the largest SEC-only website in America. In 2025, Chris took on a new challenge as the Evergreen Editor at SportRadar, primarily building and maintaining pages for Saturday Down South. In addition to overseeing that project, Chris also uses AI tools to cover MLB, the NBA, college sports, tennis and the NFL for Saturday Down South, Saturday Tradition, Crossing Broad, Sports Betting Dime and ESNY.