Eagles

Eagles vs. Rams: Week 3 Odds, Picks, and Player Props for Divisional Round Rematch of Unbeaten Teams

By Kevin Kinkead

Published: Sep 20th, 2025 · 9:56 AM EDT

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A battle of unbeatens with recent postseason history, it’s the LA Rams returning to Philly for a Week 3 clash with the Super Bowl champion Eagles. This is a matchup of differing offensive philosophies, fought between teams that duked it out in the snow just nine months ago at Lincoln Financial Field. Both teams enter with 2-0 records, but they’ve arrived there in vastly different ways.

For the Birds, the formula has been a punishing ground attack and suffocating defense. Quarterback Jalen Hurts has been unspectacular through the air, but ruthlessly efficient, completing 75.6% of his passes for 253 yards with no interceptions. The offense runs through workhorse Saquon Barkley, while Hurts has been a wrecking ball in the red zone, punching in three rushing touchdowns himself. The methodical, clock-draining style has been overpowering in the early going.

Across the field, the Rams have leaned on the veteran arm of Matthew Stafford, who has been airing it out to the tune of 514 yards and three touchdowns against one interception on a 71% completion rate. With a dynamic receiving corps, the Rams’ offense is designed for explosive plays and has looked sharp to start the year. This contest will test whether Philadelphia’s physicality can control the game’s tempo or if Los Angeles’ high-flying offense can dictate the terms on the road.

Rams vs. Eagles Odds

Bet Type	Los Angeles Rams	Philadelphia Eagles
Spread	+3.5 (-120)	-3.5 (+100)
Moneyline	+160	-189
Total Points	Over 44.5 (-105)	Under 44.5 (-115)

Odds as of September 20th, 2025 from ESPN bet.

Moneyline (vig-free): Philadelphia Eagles \~63.0%, Los Angeles Rams \~37.0%

The odds position the Eagles as solid home favorites, with their -189 moneyline price implying a 63% chance of victory. However, the Rams have been an absolute machine against the spread, boasting an incredible 9-1 ATS record in their last 10 games overall and a perfect 7-0 ATS mark in their last seven road contests. The total sits at 44.5, a number that has seen significant downward movement, but it’s worth noting the over has cashed in five of the last six head-to-head meetings between these two franchises.

Odds Movement & Analysis

The betting market has shown significant respect for the Rams throughout the week. After opening with the Birds as -4.5 point favorites, the line has moved a full point down to -3.5. This shift across the key number of four suggests that sharp money has been backing the road underdog, fading a Philadelphia team that is 1-1 ATS this season despite their 2-0 record.

The total has seen an even more dramatic shift, plummeting from an opening number of 46.5 down to 44.5. This two-point drop indicates a strong market sentiment towards the under.

The reasoning is likely twofold:

Philly’s offense has been extremely run-heavy with low passing volume, and the weather forecast, while not severe, includes wind that could impact offensive production. This movement has created potential value on the over, especially given the history of high-scoring affairs between these teams.

Injury Report

Player Name	Position	Injury	Status	Fantasy/Betting Impact
Steve Avila	OL	ankle	doubtful	A key starter on the interior, his absence would be a significant blow to the Rams’ pass protection against Philadelphia’s strong defensive front.
Braden Fiske	DL	oblique	Questionable	The rookie defensive lineman’s presence would be crucial in trying to slow down the Eagles’ dominant rushing attack.

On the Birds’ side, Dallas Goedert’s return should be a huge boon after he missed week 2 in KC. Will Shipley has been ruled OUT and Tanner McKee is questionable.

Key Matchups to Watch

Quarterback vs Pass Defense

Stafford has been sharp, averaging 257 passing yards per game with a 107.1 passer rating. He faces an Eagles secondary that has been stingy, allowing only 180.5 passing yards per game. The key will be Philadelphia’s pass rush, which has generated just two sacks this season but racked up five in their last meeting with the Rams. If the Eagles can’t generate pressure, Stafford has the weapons to exploit their secondary.

Running Game vs Run Defense

This is the premier matchup of the game. Barkley is the engine of the Eagles’ offense, which averages 140 yards per game on the ground. In the playoff matchup last season, he single-handedly dismantled the Rams, bulldozing his way to 202 yards and two touchdowns. The Rams’ defense is allowing 111.5 rushing yards per game and will need a heroic effort from their front seven to avoid a repeat performance.

Pass Catchers vs Secondary

The Rams boast a formidable trio with Puka Nacua, Davante Adams, and Tutu Atwell. Nacua has been a target monster, while Adams remains one of the league’s elite route runners. They’ll face a tough test against Quinyon Mitchell and a physical Eagles secondary. For Philadelphia, A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith will look to create separation against a Rams secondary that has played well but can be susceptible to physical receivers.

Offensive Line vs Pass Rush

Los Angeles’ offensive line could be without starter Steve Avila, a major concern against a deep and talented Eagles defensive line. Philadelphia’s front four, led by Jalen Carter, has the potential to dominate this game if the Rams are not at full strength. Conversely, the Rams’ pass rush has been a revelation, racking up eight sacks in two games. They’ll look to disrupt Jalen Hurts and force him into uncomfortable situations.

Passing Props

PLAYER	PASSING YARDS	PASSING TDs	COMPLETIONS	INTs
Jalen Hurts (PHI)	190.5 (O -113 | U -113)	1.5 (O +174 | U -234)	17.5 (O -125 | U -105)	0.5 (O +150 | U -207)
Matthew Stafford (LA)	230.5 (O -113 | U -114)	1.5 (O +107 | U -140)	21.5 (O -132 | U +101)	0.5 (O -119 | U -111)

The prop lines reflect the expected game script. Hurts’ passing yards total is low at 190.5, a nod to Philadelphia’s run-first identity. The juice on his under 1.5 passing touchdowns (-234) is massive, indicating oddsmakers expect the Eagles to do their scoring on the ground. Stafford’s line of 230.5 yards seems low given his average of 257 yards per game this season, presenting potential value on the over if you believe the Rams will be playing from behind.

Rushing & Receiving Props

PLAYER	RUSHING YARDS	RECEIVING YARDS	RECEPTIONS	ANYTIME TD
Saquon Barkley (PHI)	89.5 (O -115 | U -112)	16.5 (O -110 | U -118)	2.5 (O -124 | U -105)	Yes -156 | No +120
Kyren Williams (LA)	61.5 (O -113 | U -113)	10.5 (O -110 | U -120)	N/A	Yes -113 | No -115
A.J. Brown (PHI)	N/A	62.5 (O -115 | U -113)	4.5 (O -133 | U +101)	Yes +187 | No -250
Puka Nacua (LA)	3.5 (O -129 | U +101)	81.5 (O -115 | U -111)	6.5 (O -138 | U +103)	Yes +142 | No -185
Davante Adams (LA)	N/A	63.5 (O -115 | U -115)	5.5 (O +102 | U -133)	Yes +172 | No -225

NFL player props as of September 20th, 2025 from consensus data.

Barkley’s rushing prop of 89.5 yards is the number to watch. Given his 205-yard explosion in their last meeting and the Eagles’ commitment to the run, the over is highly attractive. For the Rams, Puka Nacua’s reception line is set at a lofty 6.5. While he’s been Stafford’s favorite target, the Eagles’ defense will be keying on him, making the under a possibility. Kyren Williams’ rushing line of 61.5 yards could be tough to reach against a stout Philadelphia run defense.

Picks & Prediction

This matchup presents a classic clash of a dominant home team against a road warrior that consistently defies expectations. While the Birds have won their last 12 games at the Linc, the Rams are 7-0 against the spread in their last seven road games and 5-0 ATS in their last five games as an underdog. Something has to give.

The game will be won or lost in the trenches. The Eagles’ offensive line is built to maul opponents, and their primary objective will be to spring Saquon. The Rams’ defense, which prioritizes pass coverage with lighter boxes, is susceptible to a powerful rushing attack, as evidenced by Barkley’s 205-yard performance in the playoffs. If the Rams can’t slow him down, this isn’t a game.

Through the early going, with the Eagles working in a new offensive coordinator, the Rams have the significant advantage in the passing game. Stafford is playing at a high level, and his connection with Nacua and Adams gives them the firepower to score from anywhere. The Eagles’ pass rush has been relatively quiet this season (30th in sacks), and if they can’t disrupt Stafford, he’ll find his targets. The line movement toward the Rams is telling; even with the Eagles’ home-field advantage, taking the points with a team that has covered in 9 of its last 10 games is probably the smart play. Feels like the Eagles win a tight one, just like they did last week.

Picks & Prediction:

• ATS: Rams +3.5 (-120)
• moneyline: Eagles (-189)
• Over/Under: Over 44.5 (-105)
• Player Prop: Jalen Hurts anytime touchdown scorer (-140)

Public Betting Splits

Market data indicates a classic public vs. sharp divide. Approximately 65% of the public spread bets are on the Eagles to cover at home. However, the line move signals that a larger percentage of the money, likely from professional bettors, is backing the Rams to keep the game close.

disclaimer: AI helped with this story, but I did most of it