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Devils vs. Flyers Betting Odds, Pick, Prediction (May 1, 2021)

By Bob Wankel

Published: May 1st, 2021 · 1:34 PM EDT

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On Saturday night, the Philadelphia Flyers will play host to the New Jersey Devils at the Wells Fargo Center. This represents the seventh meeting between the teams this season and the fourth of a four-game set between the teams this week.

Let’s get into our Flyers-Devils betting pick with player prop predictions, odds and analysis for this May 1, 2021 matchup.

Devils vs. Flyers Betting Pick (May 1, 2021)

The Philadelphia Flyers will host the fourth and final game of a weeklong mini-series that’s seen each team claim victory.

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After a heroic effort from captain Claude Giroux in the third period of last Sunday’s game, the Flyers took the first contest by way of a shootout at Wells Fargo Center. The teams then changed venues, heading to the Prudential Center for the next two games. New Jersey dominated play on Tuesday night in a 6-4 win, and followed it up two nights later in a 5-3 contest.

In a season that can’t end quickly enough for either team, the Flyers (22-21-7) and Devils (16-27-7) will see tonight’s game hold real draft lottery implications.

Can the Flyers draw level with two wins on the week or will the Devils skate away with their third consecutive victory?

 

Devils vs. Flyers Odds

Here’s the line for the Flyers and Devils at DraftKings Sportsbook PA:

• Spread: Flyers -1.5 (+155), Devils +1.5 (-186)
• Moneyline: Flyers -150, Devils +128
• Over/Under: O 6.5 +102, U 6.5 -125

[sb-standard teams=”Philadelphia Flyers” books=”DraftKings”] [metabet_core_odds_compare query=”flyers” size=”300×250″ site_id=”crossingbroad”]

 

Bets We Like With a Devils Win

Money Puck gives the Devils a 45.5% chance of winning this game. Meanwhile, New Jersey’s implied win probability based on the moneyline is a bit lower at 42%.

Devils to Win and Over 6.5 Goals (+370, DraftKings Sportsbook)

Brian Elliott will get the start in net for the Flyers on Saturday night. With franchise netminder Carter Hart out for the remainder of the season with a sprained MCL, Elliott will likely see the lion’s share of remaining starts. That could spell trouble for Philadelphia. Elliott has performed about as well as you could hope from a 35-year-old backup, posting a 2.98 GAA and .892 SV% through 26 games. The issue at hand is the drop-off in Elliott’s play on limited rest. While that isn’t a factor heading into this contest -since Alex Lyon started on Thursday night- Elliott got rocked by the Devils in his last start on Tuesday, allowing 5 goals on 26 shots. His .869 SV% and 3.65 GAA represent the second-worst marks against any team in the East Division this season.

In recent games, we’ve recommended hedging down from 6.5 goals to 5.5 and taking the over. Given the recent scoring trends surrounding these teams and the Devils in general,  taking over 6.5 goals is a solid bet at +370 odds. If you’re feeling a bit nervous about the over 6.5 goals portion of the bet, you can get in the Devils to win and over 5.5 goals at +285.

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Bets We Like Independent of Outcome

Pavel Zacha to Record Over 1.5 Shots (-155, BetMGM)

Pavel Zacha has had a breakout season for the lowly Devils this season, tying a career-high with 13 goals in just 44 games, having previously done so in 61 games back in the 2018-19 season. On the season, he’s amassed 30 points, just two shy of the career-high 32 he posted in 65 games in 2019-20.

Zacha has ramped up his intensity and eye for goal, finding the back of the net in each of his games against the Flyers this week, putting up five points over those three contests. While it’s possible he could find the back of the net again, we’d recommend getting in on the Over 1.5 Shots market. After recording two shots in last Sunday’s game against the Flyers, Zacha posted three shots on goal in each of his last two games against the Orange & Black. Overall, he’s crossed the 1.5 shot threshold in seven of his last ten games. Most importantly, he’s recorded at least two shots on goal in each of New Jersey’s six games against the Flyers this season.

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Claude Giroux to Score a Goal (+260, FOX Bet)

Philadelphia has just six games remaining in an underwhelming season that saw them fall from Stanley Cup contender to missing the postseason. While a number of players have taken a step back this season, Flyers captain Claude Giroux has been the steady engine keeping the train moving forward to its final destination.

Although he’s not regarded as much of a goalscoring threat, Giroux has found the back of the net in two of the three games played against the Devils this week, doing so three times combined in the first two games of the week. In six games against New Jersey this season, Giroux has scored four goals in six games.

If you’re looking for a high-upside player prop tethered to a captain looking to will his team to victory, this is the one.

 

Devils vs. Flyers Prediction

Pick: The Devils have pulled off consecutive regulation victories by multiple goals after blowing a late lead and losing a shootout in the first meeting between the teams this week. Brian Elliott’s recent struggles against the Devils are enough to give pause on taking the more talented Flyers on the moneyline. Take the Devils to Win and Over 6.5 Goals.

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