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Eagles vs Packers on Monday Night Football: Odds, Predictions & Best Bets for Week 10
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After waiting through the bye week, AND an extra day of Sunday games, Eagles football is finally back on your screen, unless you have YouTube TV. In that case you gotta go to NFL+ or post up at the bar or pick another option, as billionaire companies fight each other to see who can make the most money at the expense of regular jamokes like you and I.
But yes, it’s Eagles at Packers, and the Birds bring one of the better offensive attacks of recent weeks, an offense now averaging 26 points per game behind quarterback Jalen Hurts’ dual-threat ability. Philly has been surgical in the red zone, converting at a stunning 85.0% clip while maintaining elite ball security with a +4 turnover differential. The passing game got rolling with a big win in Minnesota.
They’ll face a stiff test from a Packers squad that nearly matches their scoring output at 25.5 points per game. Led by quarterback Jordan Love, Green Bay excels on crucial downs, converting an impressive 49.0% of their third-down attempts through a balanced offensive attack, but they’ve been hit with injuries in the receiving corps.
Eagles at Packers odds
The betting markets anticipate a nail-biter at Lambeau Field, with oddsmakers setting a razor-thin line for this primetime NFC clash. The hometown Packers are slight favorites in what projects as essentially a pick-em game.
| Bet Type | Philadelphia Eagles | Green Bay Packers |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +1 (-110) | -1 (-110) |
| Moneyline | -105 | -114 |
| Total Points | Over 45.5 (-111) | Under 45.5 (-109) |
The odds reflect just how evenly matched these teams appear. The spread sits at a single point, with nearly identical moneyline odds for both squads. This represents a significant shift from opening lines where the Eagles were initially favored at -1.5. The game total of 45.5 points suggests moderate scoring expectations despite both teams’ offensive capabilities.
For bettors, the moneyline offers intriguing value on both sides. A successful $10 wager on the Eagles at -105 odds would yield a profit of $9.52, while a similar $10 bet on the favored Packers at -114 odds would result in an $8.77 profit, highlighting the tightrope-thin margin separating these contenders.
Statistical Deep Dive: Offensive Efficiency vs Defensive Schemes
The season-long data reveals teams that achieve success through different approaches, creating potential mismatches that will define this primetime field position battle:
| Team Stat | Philadelphia Eagles | Green Bay Packers |
|---|---|---|
| Points Per Game | 26.0 | 25.5 |
| Total Yards Per Game | 304.4 | 360.4 |
| Passing Yards Per Game | 192.8 | 247.5 |
| Rushing Yards Per Game | 111.6 | 112.9 |
| 3rd Down Offense % | 33.3% | 49.0% |
| Red Zone Offense (TDs) | 85.0% | 62.9% |
| Turnover Differential | +4 | 0 |
| Sacks (Defensive) | 16.0 | 22.0 |
| Total Takeaways | 7 | 5 |
| Penalty Yards Per Game | 60.75 (Rank: 26) | 58.5 (Rank: 12) |
How They Stack Up
This matchup presents a classic clash of offensive philosophies. The Packers operate a more traditional air raid offense, generating higher yardage totals (360.4 YPG) and boasting one of the league’s elite third-down conversion rates at 49.0%. They sustain drives methodically and wear down defensive schemes through volume. Their pass rush has also been more productive, logging 22 sacks on the season.
Conversely, the Eagles’ embody lethal red zone efficiency over raw yardage. While generating fewer total yards, they’re surgical when it matters most. The astronomical 85.0% red zone touchdown rate demonstrates clinical execution inside the 20-yard line. Philadelphia’s turnover differential advantage (+4 vs 0) showcases their opportunistic defensive schemes and ball security fundamentals.
This game pits Green Bay’s drive-sustaining offensive approach and disruptive pass rush against Philadelphia’s hyper-efficient, opportunistic style that maximizes scoring chances. The team successfully imposing its preferred tempo and field position battle will likely control the outcome.
Quarterback Duel: Dual-Threat vs Pocket Presence
We’ve got contrasting quarterback styles that elevate their respective offenses. Jalen Hurts and Jordan Love approach the position differently, with Love providing traditional pocket presence while Hurts blends efficiency with game-breaking mobility:
| Player Stat | Jalen Hurts (PHI) | Jordan Love (GB) |
|---|---|---|
| Passing Yards Per Game | 209.6 | 258.9 |
| Completion % | 70.2% | 70.8% |
| Passing TDs Per Game | 1.9 | 1.6 |
| Rushing Yards Per Game | 28.5 | 10.5 |
| Passer Rating | 114.4 | 107.9 |
Tale of the Tape
The numbers reveal a fascinating quarterback contrast in approach and impact. Love operates as the engine of a Packers air raid offense, averaging an impressive 258.9 passing yards per game with stellar 70.8% completion percentage. His pocket presence allows Green Bay to sustain lengthy drives and control time of possession.
Hurts counters with elite efficiency and dynamic dual-threat capability. While his passing yardage is lower (209.6 per game), he boasts a superior passer rating (114.4) and better touchdown rate (1.9 per game). His rushing ability (28.5 yards per game) creates unique pressure on defensive schemes, particularly in red zone situations where the Eagles excel. This mobility factor gives Philadelphia a distinct advantage in short-yardage and goal-line scenarios.
Key Player Props to Watch
- Jalen Hurts (PHI)
- Passing Yards: Over/Under 197.5
- Passing Touchdowns: Over/Under 1.5
- Jordan Love (GB)
- Passing Yards: Over/Under 233.5
- Passing Touchdowns: Over/Under 1.5
Head-to-Head History: Eagles’ Recent Dominance
Recent history in this NFC rivalry tells a decidedly one-sided story favoring Philadelphia. While the all-time series remains competitive, the Eagles have established clear psychological momentum in their most recent encounters, creating a significant narrative entering Monday’s showdown. They beat the Packers twice in 2024, once in Brazil and once in Philly in the postseason, en route to a Super Bowl victory.
Philadelphia’s Winning Streak
The Eagles enter with commanding head-to-head momentum, having won their last three consecutive meetings against the Packers. This recent dominance extends beyond just game outcomes to betting performance as well:
- Straight Up: Philadelphia has won the last three meetings outright
- Against the Spread: Green Bay has failed to cover in any of those three games, posting an 0-3 ATS record versus the Eagles
This pattern suggests Philadelphia consistently outperforms expectations in this matchup regardless of circumstances. The current Packers squad, despite playing at a high level, must reverse a trend that has seen the Eagles find ways to win and cover spreads. For Green Bay to successfully defend home turf, they’ll need to buck recent history that decidedly favors their NFC opponent.
Injury Report: Green Bay’s Depth Faces Significant Test
Injuries could play a decisive role in this Monday night matchup, with the Packers managing a concerning 17 players on their report compared to the Eagles’ more manageable 9. Green Bay faces particular vulnerability at wide receiver, tight end, and in the secondary, while Philadelphia’s key players appear healthier heading into primetime.
Several Eagles stars like Saquon Barkley (groin) and A.J. Brown (hamstring) appeared on the report but participated fully in practice. The real concerns involve players with limited or no practice participation:
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Status | Fantasy/Betting Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adoree’ Jackson (PHI) | CB | Concussion | full participant | Jackson’s likely absence creates major vulnerability in Eagles’ secondary for Jordan Love to exploit |
| Cam Jurgens (PHI) | OL | Knee | Out | Starting lineman’s absence could disrupt pass protection and weaken ground game effectiveness |
| Nate Hobbs (GB) | CB | Knee | Out | Key secondary loss makes defending A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith significantly more challenging |
| Matthew Golden (GB) | WR | Shoulder | Questionable | Another blow to Packers’ receiving corps, limiting available targets for Jordan Love |
| Christian Watson (GB) | WR | Knee | limited participant | Watson’s speed creates game-changing plays; his absence would significantly impact big-play ability |
| Dontayvion Wicks (GB) | WR | Calf | Questionable | Reliable possession receiver whose absence puts strain on remaining healthy pass-catchers |
| Kamal Hadden (GB) | CB | Hamstring | limited participant | Banged-up secondary is major concern against one of league’s most potent offensive attacks |
The Packers’ collection of wide receiver injuries represents the most critical storyline. With Watson, Wicks, and Golden all questionable or worse, Love may operate with a significantly depleted receiving corps. He’s already without tight end Tucker Kraft, who is the team leader with 489 yards and six touchdowns this season.
Eagles vs Packers Prediction: Best Bets for Monday Night Football
This matchup projects as a genuine coin flip, but key factors point to value on the visiting Birds. While Green Bay’s offensive schemes excel at sustaining drives (49.0% third-down rate), Philadelphia’s hyper-efficient red zone execution and opportunistic turnover creation are traits that travel exceptionally well to hostile environments. This is a team that has won in Kansas City and Tampa this season.
The Eagles’ league-leading 85.0% red zone touchdown rate and +4 turnover differential represent championship-caliber fundamentals. Combined with Green Bay’s significant injuries in the secondary and receiving corps, Philadelphia appears well-positioned to control this primetime contest. A crucial situational trend supports this analysis: the Eagles are 7-1 against the spread (.875) on the road following a win over their last 8 games.
This game script points toward a narrow Eagles victory, making them excellent value on both the moneyline and with the point.
Best Bet: Eagles +1 (-110)
- Justification: Philadelphia has won and covered the spread in three consecutive meetings with Green Bay. The Packers have struggled covering as favorites, going just 1-5 ATS in their last six such games. The Eagles’ proven ability to beat quality opponents (5-0 ATS in last five against winning teams) makes them the confident selection.
Total Pick: Over 45.5 (-111)
- Justification: Both offenses average a combined 51.5 points per game. The over has hit in each of the Eagles’ last six games against teams with winning records. With injuries impacting both secondaries, expect productive performances from both Hurts and Love in this offensive showcase.
Top Player Prop: Jalen Hurts over 18.5 passing completions (-115)
- Justification: This is a line that has cleared the over in 5 of 8 games this year.
disclaimer: A.I. assisted in the creation of this story, but I was the one who ripped Google and ESPN. We’re gonna take all the money we win on this game and sign up for PA and NJ casino apps, and play blackjack online.
Kevin has been writing about Philadelphia sports since 2009. He spent seven years in the CBS 3 sports department and started with the Union during the team's 2010 inaugural season. He went to the academic powerhouses of Boyertown High School and West Virginia University. email - k.kinkead@sportradar.com