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Phillies’ Right-Handed Bats Have a Terrific Tuesday Matchup Against the Marlins
By Joe Tansey
Published:
EDITOR’S NOTE: Nick Castellanos is NOT in the lineup after being yanked by Topper
If it ain’t broke, don’t fix it.
That’s the betting strategy with the Phillies right now.
Trea Turner is 5-10 over his last two games and he’s got a trio of multi-hit performances across his last five contests.
Alec Bohm is coming off back-to-back two-hit games and he’s had multiple knocks in five of his last seven.
The batter props for both players will be under a larger microscope on Tuesday night against Cal Quantrill, who has given up a whopping .383 batting average to right-handed hitters in 2025.
The head-to-head histories are not as significant as they were last night against Sandy Alcantara, but Turner does have a .444 average and a home run in nine at-bats and Bohm is 2-for-5 in his career against Quantrill.
bet365 has a Safety Net Bet available for Tuesday’s MLB games. Turner and Bohm to have 2+ total bases gets you to +230. The addition of the Phillies money line to those props gets you to +320.
If you want to just load up on righties against Quantrill, an over 1.5 total bases SGP with Turner, Bohm, Nick Castellanos, and J.T. Realmuto gets you to +1100, while a hit SGP is +165.
BetMGM has a Home Run No Sweat Token to use for Tuesday. Kyle Schwarber has the most home runs against righties on the Phillies roster and he does have three home runs against Quantrill, but he’s got a .177 career average outside the long balls. I think the better call for that promotion is Turner or Castellanos, who are both +675 to go yard at BetMGM and New Jersey sports betting apps.
The Phillies money line seems like a safe bet on Tuesday with Jesus Luzardo going up against his former team for the second time this season.
Luzardo got his groove back in his last start against the Cubs in which he fanned 10 batters and gave up a single earned run over six innings. Back in April, Luzardo struck out seven Marlins and conceded one earned run on eight hits.
Luzardo’s strikeout prop is back up to over/under 6.5 following last week’s strong outing. The Marlins rank 21st in team strikeouts against lefties, so it isn’t a slam dunk matchup, but if Luzardo has the stuff he had against the Cubs, the over is in play.
The trends for the batter props are much stronger than anything Luzardo has in his favor, so I’d stick with those plays before going in depth with the lefty starter.
Joe Tansey writes sports betting posts for Crossing Broad and also covers the Philadelphia Union for his Substack site, Union Soccer Blog.