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The Odds and Trends for Phillies NLDS Game 4 and Eagles vs. Giants on Thursday Night Football
By Joe Tansey
Published:
Thursday is one of the more important days on the Philly sports calendar in quite a while.
The Phillies are facing elimination for the second night in a row in NLDS Game 4, while the Eagles are up at MetLife Stadium to take on the Giants.
With all due respect to the Flyers, your season opener is against the defending Stanley Cup champion, the game is on the road, and there are 81 more of these to worry about. So we focus on the Phils and Eagles.
Phillies (+110) at Dodgers (Over/Under 7.5)
Anything is possible for the Phillies after the Game 3 offensive breakout.
The bats are alive, Cristopher Sanchez is on the mound, and hope is abundantly flowing through the fan base.
The Phils got two hits and forced two walks against Tyler Glasnow in the late stages of Game 1. J.T. Realmuto and Bryce Harper had the hits. That’s important because Realmuto leads the series with five hits and Harper reached base five times in the series.
Sanchez struck out eight batters in 5.2 innings in Game 1. He’s capable of outpitching anyone in the current form that he’s in.
His props sit at Over/Under 17.5 outs and Over/Under 5.5 strikeouts at bet365. I would look into the Over on both. Ideally, the Phillies get six innings out of Sanchez, turn the ball over to the high-leverage relievers, and come back home for Game 5.
Glasnow allowed six or more hits in four of his 11 postseason appearances and he’s walked multiple batters in eight of those. I’d use BetMGM’s MLB Odds Boost Token to drop down the odds on Glasnow’s o3.5 hits allowed prop, which currently sits at -160.
A Trea Turner/Harper/Realmuto hit SGP puts you at +210 before you apply bet365’s 30 percent Same Game Parlay boost.
Eagles (-7) at Giants (O/U: 40.5)
The Eagles have the perfect recipe for a bounce-back game on their hands at MetLife.
The Birds enter Thursday at 3-2 against the spread and 2-3 to the over. The Giants are 2-3 ATS and 1-4 to the over. They are one of six teams to hit the over just once in 2025.
Personally, I fall into the groupthink that a loss was needed for a reset, and if it serves as the proper motivation, the Birds will have this one wrapped up by halftime.
Saquon Barkley is the obvious target from a player prop perspective, and bettors are really honing in on him at PA and NJ betting apps. He had 176 rushing yards and a touchdown in his return to MetLife last season. Three of his five 150-yard rushing performances last season were against NFC East opposition.
The Giants allowed more than 100 rushing yards to four of their five opponents, so yeah, this is a good spot to take the over on Barkley’s rush-yard prop of 86.5. A 100-yard game isn’t out of the question either.
May I also remind you that the Giants are not good at defending the pass either. That leads me to cue up A.J. Brown at Over 64.5 receiving yards as well.
bet365 has a $10 Safety Net Bet available for Thursday’s game. I’d put Barkley 80+ rush yards and Brown 60+ receiving yards in there with Jaxson Dart 30+ rushing yards and Theo Johnson 20+ receiving yards.
Dart’s already done a ton of scrambling in his first two starts, and I think we see the same with the Eagles pressuring him. Johnson caught three touchdowns in the last two weeks and has been targeted 13 times by Dart. He’s an easy parlay piece to throw in there with the Giants likely passing a ton in a trailing mode for most of the game.
Joe Tansey writes sports betting posts for Crossing Broad and also covers the Philadelphia Union for his Substack site, Union Soccer Blog.