Phillies

Here’s the Good and the Bad with Dodgers Game 2 Starter Blake Snell

By Kevin Kinkead

Published: Oct 6th, 2025 · 10:52 AM EDT

---

Phillies vs. Dodgers in Game 2 of the NLDS on Monday night. First pitch 6:08 p.m.

It’ll be Jesus Luzardo vs. Blake Snell, who has historically been good against the Phillies (ESPN data) –

Only Alec Bohm, Edmundo Sosa, J.T. Realmuto, and Bryson Stott are hitting better than .225 career against Snell, through the Stott and Sosa data is negligible. They’ve only face Snell 10 times total, and eight of those at-bats belong to Sosa. The slight bit of silver lining here is the eight walks drawn by the Phillies top three of Trea Turner, Kyle Schwarber, and Bryce Harper, which went 1 for 11 in Game 1.

Conversely, Snell has had notable home/road performance trends in 2025. He finished with a 2.35 ERA overall, but posted a 1.17 at Dodger Stadium and a 4.30 everywhere else. Recent road games include a six-inning effort in Arizona when he gave up just one earned run, and a five-inning start in Pittsburgh that saw five earned runs on nine hits. Going back to the beginning of August, he’s given up 11 earned runs in four road games over 23 innings.

Snell has only pitched three times at Citizens Bank Park, all three with San Diego. The 2021 start was a two hit, zero run, four-inning effort in which the Padres beat up on Vince Velasquez. The 2022 start was a 4-2 Phillies win in which Snell was chased in the 5th inning for four earned runs on six hits. And in 2023 he tossed five innings of three-hit, no-run ball while striking out seven.

He did pitch against the Phillies in the 2022 NLCS, but that start took place at home, and he gave up four runs on five hits over five innings.

Maybe most important is the regular season/postseason split. Snell’s career playoff ERA is 3.23 and during the 2020 Tampa run to the World Series, all six of his games were pitched at home. He gave up 10 runs over 29.2 innings while striking out 37 and walking 14, and didn’t go six full innings in any of those starts.

So there’s an opportunity here for the Phils to get Snell out of this game after five innings, or four and two-thirds hopefully, which forces the Dodgers into the bullpen again. Whether they can do anything in the 6th, 7th, 8th, or 9th remains to be seen. Dave Roberts used Tyler Glasnow and Roki Sasaki out of the pen, avoiding his weaker guys.

In the meantime, we play blackjack online until first pitch.