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Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox: Ranger Reunion for the Rubber Match
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The Philadelphia Phillies (20-23) are stuck below .500 and looking to make up ground with a rubber match win in Boston. Following a frustrating 3-1 defeat on Wednesday where Trevor Story and Ceddanne Rafaela launched home runs to steal the game, Bryce Harper, Trea Turner, and the rest of the lineup are desperately looking to shake off an offensive malaise that resulted in a pathetic three hits.
It won’t get any easier against former longtime Phillies Ranger Suarez, who is set to oppose Jesus Luzardo if the weather permits. Ranger is pitching well in his early Red Sox tenure, currently logging a 2.77 ERA across 39 innings.
Phillies vs. Red Sox Odds
- Moneyline: Phillies -111, Red Sox -108
- Total: O/U 7 Runs
- Point Spread: Phillies -1.5 (+154), Red Sox +1.5 (-187)
Odds provided by consensus bookmakers.
Phillies vs. Red Sox Pick and Prediction
Pick: Under 7 Runs (-102)
If you enjoy offensive explosions and balls flying over the Green Monster, you might want to watch a different game. The numbers strongly point to a snooze-fest at the plate, making the under a fantastic value play. At home, the Red Sox are mustering a pathetic 2.86 runs per game with a team batting average of .223 and a miserable 8.40% walk rate to match. The Phillies are barely doing any better on the road, scratching across just 3.32 runs per contest. Combined, these two lineups generate fewer fireworks than a soggy sparkler.
The Red Sox’s pitching staff currently sports a very respectable 3.88 overall ERA and a 1.27 WHIP, which should be more than enough to silence the Phillies’ struggling bats. On the flip side, the Phillies’ overall 4.46 ERA is not exactly terrifying, but against a Red Sox lineup this pedestrian, they are going to look like absolute aces on the mound. Save yourself the stress of rooting for late-inning rallies, trust the analytical trends, and take the under.
Phillies Player Prop Picks and Predictions
Trea Turner Under 1.5 Total Bases (-146)
Trea Turner is currently swinging what appears to be a wet, rolled-up newspaper at the plate. He is hitless in five of his last six games and is batting just .182 in May. He did walk and steal a base on Wednesday night, but he’s on getting on by actually using the baseball bat.
Ranger Suarez 5+ strikeouts (-154)
The Phillies have 110 strikeouts against lefties this season, which is tied for 11th most in Major League Baseball. Ranger has not historically been a high volume strikeout pitcher, but considering the Phils struggle with lefties and don’t have any real history of facing Ranger, five strikeouts feels like a reachable number. We will play this number, put the game on in the background, and focus on US online casino games and online slots.