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Phillies Favored to Sweep Rays Behind Jesus Luzardo
By Joe Tansey
Published:
The Phillies are favored, and quite honestly, in a great position to complete the sweep at Steinbrenner Field over the Tampa Bay Rays.
Jesus Luzardo is a -155 favorite against Ryan Pepiot and the over/under sits at 9.
The Phillies have scored 15 of the 19 runs in this series and they should finish the three-game set close to the 20s because of Pepiot’s home splits.
Pepiot owns a 4.82 home ERA and right-handed hitters have a .321 average against the right-handed hurler.
The over on Pepiot’s hits allowed (4.5) and earned runs (2.5) are absolutely in play given the Phils’ recent form and Pepiot’s below-average splits at home. He’s allowed multiple home runs in three of his five home starts as well.
The Phils hit four home runs in the series. I’d look to FanDuel’s team home runs prop, which has typically been at over/under 1.5 for games in Tampa Bay.
The full game over is in play as well because Luzardo hasn’t been perfect in his last few starts. He let up 20 hits in the last three appearances, 17 of which came in two starts versus the Marlins and Diamondbacks.
There’s no real head-to-head history on either side against Luzardo or Pepiot, so I’d rely on the splits and the hot bats in the Phillies lineup to take advantage of the promos at PA sports betting apps and New Jersey sports betting apps.
DraftKings has a boost available for a four-leg MLB SGP or SGPx, ESPNBet has a two-pack of profit boosts and bet365 has a 30 percent SGP boost.
Trea Turner, who has a six-game hitting streak, and Nick Castellanos, who has four hits in the series, are the best Phillies to utilize across these boosts.
Joe Tansey writes sports betting posts for Crossing Broad and also covers the Philadelphia Union for his Substack site, Union Soccer Blog.