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Sixers a Light Home Underdog in Third Matchup with Celtics in Three Weeks
By Joe Tansey
Published:
The Sixers come into Tuesday night’s matchup with the Celtics in a tie for the best against the spread record in the NBA. They’re a 1.5-point underdog at BetMGM and covered twice this season against Boston.
The Celtics are one of the worst ATS teams in the NBA at 4-7. They’re also one of eight teams with a sub-.500 mark to the over at 5-6. The Sixers are 7-3 to the over.
Tuesday’s total is on the higher side at 231.5. One under and one over hit in the previous two head-to-head meetings.
The one constant from the first two matchups was Tyrese Maxey’s play. Maxey put up 40 points in the season opener and then totaled 26 points, eight rebounds and 14 assists in the NBA Cup group-stage game.
Maxey’s props at bet365 are over/under 28.5 points, 3.5 rebounds, and 7.5 assists.
You’d think Maxey wouldn’t rebound much with Joel Embiid in the lineup, but he’s averaging 4.9 boards per game and he’s had at least four rebounds in seven of his last eight. (editor’s note: Embiid was just ruled OUT for this game)
Maxey’s assists & rebounds prop sits at O/U 10.5. If you aren’t fully comfortable with the rebound prop on its own, I’d chase this one. Maxey’s had at least 11 A/R on eight occasions over 10 games.
The Celtics allow the fifth most rebounds per 100 possessions. With that in mind, I’d look into someone like Trendon Watford on a rebound prop. Of course, he’s not going to go berserk like he did against the Raptors on Saturday, but he’s a guy who attacks the rim and probably benefits more than Kelly Oubre Jr. from Joel Embiid’s ongoing minutes restriction.
Oubre, VJ Edgecombe, and Quentin Grimes all have point props of O/U 13.5 at bet365. As I’ve mentioned multiple times this season, one or more members of that trio must step up while Embiid sits.
I’d lean toward buying low on Edgecombe, or using his 10+ points prop in a Same Game Parlay at NJ or PA sports betting apps.
bet365 has a Safety Net Bet available for Tuesday’s NBA games. You can get up to $10 in bonus bets if your SGP doesn’t hit.
I’d use most of the props mentioned above to form a SGP for Celtics/Sixers.
Maxey to have 25+ points, Over 10.5 assists & rebounds, Trendon Watford 5+ rebounds, and VJ Edgecombe 10+ points gets you to +275.
You can use bet365’s 30 percent profit boost on that SGP and the Safety Net Bet on a SGP with longer odds if you prefer.
In that case, I’d use Maxey 30+ points, Maxey O/U 10.5 A/R, Watford 7+ rebounds, and Edgecombe 15+ points to get you to +700.
Joe Tansey writes sports betting posts for Crossing Broad and also covers the Philadelphia Union for his Substack site, Union Soccer Blog.