Here’s your FanDuel Sportsbook PA betting update for Wednesday, August 7th.
In baseball action, the Phillies look to rebound in Arizona and secure a series win after yet another infuriating loss last night. The Phillies blew multiple chances to bury Diamondbacks starter Mike Leake in the early innings, but failed.
In total, they were a dismal 2-17 with runners in scoring position, continuing their trend of inept hitting in clutch situations. Since last Friday, they are 12 for 62 with runners in scoring position. Perhaps more amazingly, the Phillies are hitting under .100 dating back to the start of July with the bases loaded.
It will be Jason Vargas making his second start for the Phillies against Arizona’s Zac Gallen. He’s a South Jersey product who will be making his first start for the Diamondbacks since they acquired him via trade prior to the deadline.
Also, there’s some good news for football fans. We’re just one day away from the return of Eagles (preseason) football. They’ll play host to the Titans tomorrow night at Lincoln Financial Field. Yes, I know that it’s a preseason game, but I also know that it is still a football game and thus people will bet on it. We’ll get into some things to know about that matchup in a bit and how to bet it at FanDuel Sportsbook.
Starters: Jason Vargas (PHI) vs. Zac Gallen (ARI)
Money Line: PHI (+122) | ARI (-140)
Total Runs: 9 Over (-116) | Under (-106)
Phillies- Diamondbacks Trends to Know
West Coast Struggles
Barring drastic late movement, the moneyline in this game is currently set in the same neighborhood as last night’s contest, so much of what I wrote yesterday will be reiterated here.
Let’s begin with the Phillies’ poor performance on the west coast. In fact, “poor” may be generous.
After last night’s 8-4 loss in Arizona, the Phillies are now 12-34 (-$1,851) since the start of the 2017 season on the road against NL West opponents. That’s bad, so bad, in fact, that no team has been less profitable against NL West opponents on the road during that time. They are also just 8-21 (-$1,162) against them under Gabe Kapler.
The Phillies are again the underdog in this one, so it’s worth noting that they are 9-31 (-$1,767) against NL West opponents on the road as an underdog since 2017, including 2-7 (-$454) this season.
They have, however, been a little bit better at Chase Field, going 7-8 (+244) overall since the start of the 2015 season. Yeah, they’re below .500 there, but have remained profitable because they’ve been the underdog in all 15 games.
A Daunting Moneyline
If you want to grab the Phillies tonight, I’ve got some bad news. The Phillies are 4-14 (-$769) this season when a moneyline underdog between +110 and +140. They are 2-10 (-$897) when a dog between +110 and +130.
The Phillies are only 13-21 (-$486) as a road underdog this season. They had won three of their previous four games in that role heading into last night, but, well, you know. Meanwhile, the Diamondbacks have been a poor play as a home favorite, going only 14-17 (-$681).
Phillies-Diamondbacks Prop Bet
Over/Under 4.5 HR (Take the over)
Jason Vargas is allowing 1.4 HR/9 this season, while Zac Gallen is allowing 0.7 HR/9, so those numbers don’t necessarily add up to a ton of long balls tonight, but the Phillies bullpen has the second-worst HR/9 in the sport this season. Here’s the other issue: Vargas has allowed seven homers over only 14.1 IP in three starts. He has a 9.42 ERA while opposing hitters have posted a robust 1.144 OPS. Combine those numbers with what the Phillies’ tattered bullpen is doing, and I’ll take my chances the Phils pop one or two and push the total over 4.5 homers.
Spread: TEN: +3.5 (-125) | PHI: –3.5 (+105)
Money Line: TEN (+140) | PHI (-172)
Total Points: 37 – Over (-102) | Under (-118)
The line in this game is holding steady at FanDuel Sportsbook in PA with the Eagles as a 3.5-point favorite, but the moneyline has jumped from -160/+135 on Monday to -172/+140, so a bet on the Eagles to win outright is a bit more expensive this afternoon.
Titans-Eagles Trends to Know
Let’s be honest, this is preseason football we’re talking about. Doug Pederson told reporters on Tuesday that a decision hasn’t been made about the playing status of several key starters, including quarterback Carson Wentz or left tackle Jason Peters. There are so many unknown variables in these games, which makes it hard to provide any type of meaningful analysis. Still, there are some Eagles-related preseason trends that jump out, so if you’re looking to bet on this game, then consider the following information:
The Eagles are 7-5 in preseason games under head coach Doug Pederson, but they most recently struggled through a lackluster 1-3 preseason in 2018. Meanwhile, the Titans are 0-4 in preseason games under head coach Mike Vrabel.
The Eagles have won by four or more points in six of their sevens preseason wins under Pederson. Moreover, their average margin of victory is 7.86 points per game. Essentially, when the Eagles win in the preseason, they’ve also been able to cover a theoretical 3.5-point spread.
The Eagles are 19-11 ATS at home in preseason games since the 2005 season. More recently, the Eagles are 5-1 ATS under Peterson in the preseason at Lincoln Financial Field.
Working with this specific point spread, the Eagles have also performed well at home in preseason games dating back to 2005. They are 14-6 ATS when favored between three and four points, making them the NFL’s most profitable team in that spread range during that span.
Titans-Eagles Prop Bet at FanDuel Sportsbook PA
Those looking to try a more profitable wager, FanDuel Sportsbook suggests taking a shot on the Eagles at +14 with a +290 payout. As noted above, the Titans were 0-4 last season, but not only were they winless, each of those four losses were by double digits.
$500 Risk Free Bet
Still going and likely will be going into football season, new FanDuel Sportsbook users can claim a $500 risk-free bet
when they sign up.