Posts for sports gambling

NFL Picks Week 15: ATS Betting Predictions

Bob Wankel - December 13, 2019

The push for the NFL Playoffs is in full gear and this week’s slate is loaded with important showdowns. Eyes will be glued on key matchups between the Texans-Titans, Rams-Cowboys, and Bills-Steelers, while eight other contests also carry major postseason implications. As the pressure mounts, which teams will rise to the occasion? More importantly, which teams will cover the spread? Let’s get into it with our NFL picks for Week 15.

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Sixers vs. Celtics Betting Preview: Odds and Picks (December 12, 2019)

Russ Joy - December 12, 2019

On Thursday night, the Philadelphia 76ers are on the road taking on the Boston Celtics on national TV.  This marks the second matchup between the teams on the season, their first since the Sixers 107-93 victory in their season opener at Wells Fargo Center.

The Sixers enter this game in fourth place in the Eastern Conference at 18-7, while the Celtics are 17-6, which is good for third in the East. Both teams are just four games behind the Milwaukee Bucks, however Boston has the edge with two games in hand. The Sixers have won eight of their past ten games, while Boston has gone 6-4 over that same stretch.

With that, let’s get into our Sixers-Celtics betting preview.

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Sixers vs. Nuggets Betting Preview: Odds and Picks (December 10, 2019)

Russ Joy - December 10, 2019

On Tuesday night, the Philadelphia 76ers play host to the Denver Nuggets at Wells Fargo Center.  This marks the second matchup between the teams on the season, though it’ll be the first time this season that Sixers point guard Ben Simmons will take the floor against Denver. At 17-7, the Sixers are in fourth place in a very tight race where second through fifth place are separated by just 1.5 games. As it stands, the Sixers are four games behind the Milwaukee Bucks. Meanwhile, the Nuggets are in fourth place in the West with a record of just 14-7 and are 5.5 games back of the Los Angeles Lakers.

The Sixers are undefeated at home this season and are looking to avenge a 100-97 loss they suffered on November 8 in Denver. In that game, they were without starting PG Ben Simmons, though they did have their projected starting shooting guard Josh Richardson in that game. Richardson, however, only contributed seven points in 32 minutes. The team has also learned to play without him throughout his absence. The Nuggets, meanwhile, are a fully-healthy squad, which will test the Sixers’ defensive depth. That said, this should be another SIxers home win.

With that, let’s get into our Sixers-Nuggets betting preview.

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Eagles vs. Giants Betting Preview: Odds, Predictions, and Picks

Bob Wankel - December 9, 2019

Tonight’s Monday Night Football matchup is one that only a sports bettor could love, so let’s break it down with our Eagles vs. Giants betting prediction and picks.

Eli Manning will make his first start since September when the free-falling Giants visit Lincoln Financial Field to face a scuffling Eagles squad that was utterly embarrassed last week in Miami. It’s appropriate that this is the season of giving as the Eagles have been gifted the present of a historically bad NFC East. Despite sporting an underwhelming 5-7 record thanks to a three-game losing streak, the Eagles, somehow, still control their own postseason destiny and can take the first step toward the NFC East crown with a win over the lowly Giants.

While trusting the Eagles to beat any team feels like a dicey proposition right now, it’s worth considering the following points:

  • The Eagles have won their last five games over the Giants.
  • Losers of eight in a row, the Giants are arguably the worst team in football.
  • The Giants have lost six games this season by at least 14 points.
  • Manning, who is seemingly finished, hasn’t played in 85 days.
  • The Eagles have everything to play for, while the Giants are playing for absolutely nothing.

Surely, the Eagles should get it done tonight. Unless, of course, zombie Eli Manning rises to feast on the Eagles and kill their season. That seems unlikely, but those that have watched the Eagles this season know that anything is possible after losses to the 4-9 Falcons, 3-9-1 Lions, and 3-10 Dolphins.

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Sixers vs. Raptors Betting Preview: Odds and Picks (December 8, 2019)

Russ Joy - December 8, 2019

On Sunday night, the Philadelphia 76ers host the Toronto Raptors at Wells Fargo Center. Revenge has to be on the mind of the Sixers, who dropped a 101-96 decision in the first rematch of these franchises since Kawhi Leonard dashed Philly’s hopes of winning last season’s NBA title. The Sixers rode a three-game win streak into Toronto on November 25, only to see their franchise center get shutout for the first time in his NBA career, getting utterly embarrassed by Marc Gasol. One has to imagine he’ll be out to prove himself tonight. With that, let’s get into our Sixers-Raptors betting preview.

At 16-7, the Sixers find themselves in a tie of sorts with Toronto at four games back of the Milwaukee Bucks, but the Raptors have two games in hand. As it stands, Toronto is technically ahead of the Sixers in the standings. The Raptors have been a pleasant surprise in the Eastern Conference, where many pundits believed the bottom would fall out with the departure of Leonard. Instead, the NBA’s reigning Most Improved Player Pascal Siakam is making a bid to win the award again. Practically every traditional counting stat is up, while guard Fred VanVleet has done an exceptional job at raising his game as well. If Siakam doesn’t win MOP this season, VanVleet has made his case for consideration.

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Chiefs Vs. Patriots Betting Prediction: Odds and Picks

Bob Wankel - December 8, 2019

It will be a rematch of last season’s AFC Championship Game when New England and Kansas City get together at Gillette Stadium later this afternoon, and we’ve got everything you need to know ahead of this crucial Week 14 showdown with our Chiefs vs. Patriots betting prediction and picks.

Despite struggling a week ago on the road at Houston, the Patriots return home where they have been virtually unbeatable late in the season against conference foes since the turn of the century. New England’s home dominance against AFC squads isn’t just limited to the month of December, as the Patriots have rattled off 14 straight wins against conference opponents dating back to the start of the 2017 season. Their last home loss? It came at the hands of the Chiefs, a team which will be looking to exact some revenge for the Patriots’ dramatic win at Arrowhead Stadium that clinched their spot in Super Bowl 53. Which team will get it done today and cover the spread? Let’s get into it.

How to Bet on Chiefs vs. Patriots

Pennsylvania

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‘Tis the season for giving and the legal online sportsbooks are spreading some holiday cheer this Sunday.

FOX Bet PA is giving new users a $20 signup bonus and $100 deposit match that you can cash in on right here.   Meanwhile, all users can take advantage of FOX Bet’s money back specials and bet boosts.

DraftKings Sportsbook PA is offering users a $500 risk-free first bet which can be had by hitting it here .

Indiana

DraftKings Sportsbook Indiana offers the same $500 risk-free bet, which you can get here .

Similarly, FanDuel Sportsbook IN is one of the state’s top legal betting options and also gives new users a $500 risk-free first bet .

New Jersey

DraftKings, FanDuel, and FOX Bet are each available in New Jersey, but we also strongly recommend PointsBet for its excellent new user offer. PointsBet gives bettors a free $100 with a $50 deposit at sign up.

Chiefs vs. Patriots Odds

Here are the current Chiefs vs. Patriots betting odds at some of the top legal online sportsbooks as of Sunday morning:

DraftKings Sportsbook

      Spread     Money        Total
Chiefs        +3 (-105)      +145   O 49 (-110)
Patriots        -3 (-117)      -167   U 49 (-110)

FOX Bet

      Spread     Money        Total
Chiefs       +3 (-105)     +135   O 49 (-110)
Patriots       -3 (-110)     -154   U 49 (-110)

FanDuel Sportsbook

      Spread     Money        Total
Chiefs       +3 (+100)      +136   O 49.5 (-110)
Patriots       -3 (-120)      -154   U 49.5 (-110)

Win Probability

FiveThirtyEight’s ELO point spread projection suggests there’s a little bit of value on the Patriots right now.

ELO projects the Patriots as a four-point favorite and calculates a 63% win probability for the home team. With New England currently favored by three points at the legal books, the ELO projection suggests there is roughly one point of betting value on the Patriots. 

Meanwhile, the implied win probability of the -154 moneyline price on the Patriots at FOX Bet is 60.6%, which means the moneyline price is just a bit cheaper than what the ELO projection suggests to be appropriate (-170 would be in line with a 63% win probability).

As for the Chiefs, the implied win probability of their +135 moneyline odds at FOX Bet is 42.6%, meaning there exists no value on a Kansas City moneyline play in relation to the ELO probability.

Chiefs vs. Patriots Injury Report

Patriots Injury Report

The Patriots will be without defensive lineman Byron Cowart (head) and offensive lineman Ted Karras (knee), while six players are questionable–including some significant names. Linebacker Ja’Whaun Bentley (knee), offensive tackle Marcus Cannon (illness), safety Patrick Chung (heel), wide receiver Julian Edelman (shoulder), corner Jason McCourty (groin), and wide receiver Mohamed Sanu (ankle) are each questionable, but expected to suit up.

Chiefs Injury Report

The Chiefs will be down corners Morris Claiborne (shoulder) and Rashad Fenton (knee), which is good news for a struggling Patriots passing attack. Defensive end Frank Clark (shoulder/illness) is questionable, while Andy Reid’s offense will be without the services of running back Damien Williams (ribs), who had quite the game against New England last January:

His absence comes in the wake of the news that fellow running back Darrel Williams was placed on injured reserve earlier in the week, so that means LeSean McCoy is expected to lead the way. McCoy doesn’t have more than 12 carries in any game this season and has only 15 total rushes over his last three games. Spencer Ware and Darwin Thompson are also expected to share the load.

Chiefs vs. Patriots Betting Specials

Over at FOX Bet, Colin Cowherd’s Blazing 5 Special continues to be a solid promo. Users can follow Cowherd’s pack of five picks (Ravens -6, Browns -7.5, Broncos +8.5, Chiefs +3, Cardinals +2.5), and if he gets at least three picks right, bettors cash at +100 odds. FOX Bet is also offering nine different bet boosts for this game, including:

  • Mahomes to throw for 300+ yards an Chiefs to win (+400)
  • Chiefs +3.5, Mahomes 300+ pass yards, Hill 75+ receiving yards, Chiefs 3+ TD (+650)
  • James White to score anytime, Pats to cover -3.5, and over 49.5 points (+750)

DraftKings Sportsbook has a boosted game parlay on the Patriots, Steelers, and Titans to all win at +450, as well as Patrick Mahomes to record over 2.5 passing touchdowns boosted to +200.

Finally, FanDuel Sportsbook is offering Close Loss Insurance in which you can get a $50 refund on losing pre-game money line bets if your team loses by six points or less. With a close game expected between these two teams, that promo might be worth a look.

Chiefs vs. Patriots Betting Trends

Note: All trends date back to the 2003 season unless otherwise noted.

Why Backing the Chiefs is a Good Bet

The Chiefs are 30-10 ATS as a road team against conference opponents under Andy Reid. They are 7-3 ATS on the road against conference opponents with a .700 winning percentage or better.

Why Backing the Patriots is a Good Bet

Since 2017, the Patriots are 22-2 straight up and 16-8 ATS at home home, having won 21 consecutive games at Gillette Stadium.

The Patriots have won 14 straight conference games at home (10-4 ATS) since losing to the Chiefs, 42-27, in September 2017.

The Patriots are 25-1 at home straight up and 18-8 ATS against AFC teams in the month of December, but they were only favored by three points or less in just one of those games.

The Game Total

Our lean is on the under in this game.

The over is 25-35-1 in conference games between a road team with a .600 record or better and a home team with a .700 record or better in December or later. The over is also only 3-7-1 when the total closes between 48-50 points in this situation, and it’s 1-5 when the total closes between 48.5-50 points.

Where’s the Action?

As of early Sunday morning, 52% of spread bets and 59% of the spread handle backs the Chiefs. As for the total, roughly 49% of bets and 57% of the money sides with the over.

Bets We Like

Colin Cowherd’s Blazing 5 Special at FOX Bet. Sign up right here.

Cowherd has the Ravens -6, Browns -7.5, Broncos +8.5, Chiefs +3, and Cardinals +2.5 this week. Three of these picks must win in order to cash the bet. We’re in an agreement with Cowherd on the Ravens, Chiefs and Cardinals. You can find out why right here with our full slate of Week 14 NFL picks.

Mahomes Over 2.5 passing touchdowns (boosted to +200 at DraftKings Sportsbook). Get it here .

The Patriots aren’t in the business of allowing passing touchdowns–they’ve only given up eight scores through the air in 13 games this season. In fact, the four passing touchdowns they allowed last week at Houston equaled their season total:

As for Mahomes, he enters this game having thrown for three or more touchdowns in 5 of his 10 starts this season, but is coming off of back-to-back performances in which he’s thrown for just one touchdown. I’d be wary of this play if it were an even proposition, but at boosted +200 odds, there’s some value here. The Chiefs are down two of their top three running backs, and it seems probable that Mahomes is going to have to “out duel” Brady if Kansas City is to win this game.

Team to win by 1-13 points at FanDuel Sportsbook. Get it here .

Our pick is on the the Chiefs to cover the number, but you can get creative with FanDuel’s winning margin offerings. It’s hard to envision a blowout in this game. Kansas City’s defense isn’t good enough to bury New England, while it’s hard to imagine the Patriots’ struggling offense separating from the Chiefs’ attack.

Personally, I’m going to make the Chiefs +3 my primary play and add a smaller bet on them to win by 1-13 points at +200 odds, but if you’re on New England, grabbing the Patriots to win by 1-13 points at +145 odds also makes some sense for a few reasons. Not only is it a stronger payout, but bettors won’t get beat in the event of a Patriots win/Chiefs cover in a close contest, and they would also cash instead of settling for a push in the event New England wins by a field goal.

Chiefs vs. Patriots Prediction

A look at the history suggests a daunting task for the Chiefs today. Not only have the Patriots been lights out at home, particularly against conference opponents late in the season, but they are also 16-3 straight up (11-8 ATS) as a home favorite following a loss dating back to the 2003 season. The Chiefs’ injury concerns in both the secondary and running game are also concerning, but I simply think Kansas City possesses the explosiveness New England lacks. It feels like the Chiefs have been a bit under the radar this season. The Ravens (+240) and Patriots (+400) are both far more heavily favored than the Chiefs (+1100) in the current Super Bowl odds, but I expect Andy Reid’s team to come out strong today and make a statement.

Prediction: Chiefs (+3) over Patriots

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Sixers vs. Cavaliers Betting Preview: Odds and Picks (December 7, 2019)

Russ Joy - December 7, 2019

On Saturday night, the Philadelphia 76ers host the Cleveland Cavaliers at Wells Fargo Center. If you feel like you’re having déjà vu, you’re not alone. The Sixers and Cavs last met on November 17, just five days after their first encounter of the season. That 114-95 romping the Sixers put on Cleveland truly doesn’t feel that long ago. Don’t worry, things haven’t changed much. The Sixers are still jammed up in a tight race in the middle of the Eastern Conference, while the Cavs are in the midst of a five game losing streak, plummeting them further and further down the Eastern Conference standings. With that, let’s get into our Sixers-Cavaliers betting preview.

At 15-7, the Sixers find themselves in the all-too-familiar fifth place in the Eastern Conference, which puts them four and a half games back of the Giannis Antetokounmpo-led Milwaukee Bucks. The Cavs are an atrocious 5-16, which puts them in thirteenth place in the East, which is somehow still a game and a half ahead of the last place New York Knicks.

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Draftkings Sportsbook PA Weekend Betting Preview: College Football, NFL Week 14 Headline Action

Bob Wankel - December 7, 2019

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Hello, friends. The holiday season is in full swing and the sports gods have brought us the splendid gift of football, football, and more football. Sports bettors have QUITE the weekend ahead of them with a jam-packed slate of games to choose from at PA online sportsbooks, particularly over DraftKings Sportsbook PA.

Saturday kicks off with the Big 12 Championship Game between No. 7 Baylor and No. 6 Oklahoma, followed by the SEC Championship Game at 4 pm between No. 4 Georgia and No. 2 LSU. On Saturday night, No. 8 Wisconsin and No. 1 Ohio State cap off the day in the Big 10 Championship Game.

But wait, there’s more!

Week 14 in the NFL resumes Sunday with heavyweight tilts featuring the 49ers vs. Saints and the Chiefs vs. Patriots, along with 12 other matchups as teams jockey down the stretch in a fight for the postseason.

And don’t forget about the weekend’s 13 NBA matchups, including the Cavaliers vs. 76ers on Saturday night from the Wells Fargo Center. There’s also 16 NHL games on tap, including the Senators vs. Flyers on Saturday afternoon, along with a robust offering of college hoops action.

Many gifts have been bestowed upon us, indeed, and DraftKings Sportsbook in PA has a few more to give, including a $500 risk-free bet that new users can grab right here .

DraftKings Sportbook’s Best Weekend Promos in PA

Crossing Broad’s Exclusive +300 Odds Boost on the Eagles to Beat the Giants

Undoubtedly, our exclusive +300 odds boost on the Eagles moneyline is the best deal of the weekend. The Eagles are currently -360 on the moneyline, so new bettors get insane value on a $50 max bet that returns $200 if the Birds can get it done as a big favorite on Monday night. You can claim it exclusively right here .

Battle for Bowl Season

Conference Championship Weekend is here and all users can place a $25 pre-game bet on select matchups and grab a $10 free live bet on that same game. Free bets are good bets.

Parlay Insurance 

Looking to hit that big payout? Place a 5+ leg parlay on any sport and get your money back up to $25 if you miss on one leg.

Offensive Defense

This promo gives those who lose a NFL pregame moneyline bet up to a $25 refund if their team scores 24+ points but still goes on to lose.

DraftKings Sportsbook Odds Boosts

DraftKings’ weekend odds boosts this weekend include:

  • LSU, Ohio State, and Oklahoma all to win (boosted to +155)
  • Baylor to score first vs. Oklahoma, the total game points over 69.5, and total game points being odd (boosted to +890)
  • Ohio State and Clemson each to win by 23 or more points (boosted +335)
  • Drew Brees, Jimmy Garappolo each to record over 1.5 passing touchdowns (boosted to +450)
  • Jacoby Brissett to record over 1.5 passing touchdowns and Colts to win (boosted to +325)
  • 49ers and Cardinals both to win (boosted to +500)

College Football Conference Championship Odds at DraftKings Sportsbook

Here’s a quick look at Saturday’s top title game action:

Baylor vs. Oklahoma

      Spread     Money        Total
Baylor     +9 (-110)   +245   O 66 (-110)
Oklahoma     -9 (-110)   -315   U 66 (-100)

Trend to Know

Oklahoma is 9-1 in conference championship games, including four straight.

Georgia vs. LSU

      Spread     Money        Total
Georgia     +7.5 (-110)   +210   O 56 (-110)
LSU     -7.5 (-110)   -265   U 56 (-100)

Trend to Know

Since 2007, favorites of at least seven points are 8-0 SU and 4-3-1 ATS in SEC Championship Games.

Wisconsin vs. Ohio State

      Spread     Money        Total
Wisconsin     +16 (-110)   +480   O 57 (-110)
Ohio State     -16 (-110)   -715   U 57 (-100)

Trend to Know

Favorites are only 4-4 SU and 2-5-1 ATS since the first year of the Big Ten Championship Game in 2011, but Ohio State is 3-1 SU and covered as a 16.5-point favorite in last year’s Big 10 Championship Game.

Week 14 NFL Odds at DraftKings Sportsbook

Let’s take a look at the current NFL Week 14 odds of some of the top matchups at DraftKings Sportsbook:

Ravens vs. Bills

Trend to Know

Since the start of the 2003 seaosn, home underdogs of 4-6 points with a .700 record or better are only 3-11 ATS and they are 1-9 ATS after the month of September.

49ers vs. Saints

Trend to Know

The Saints are 18-1 ATS at home and 13-0 ATS under Sean Payton as a home favorite against opponents with a .700 winning percentage or better.

Chiefs vs. Patriots

Trend to Know

The Chiefs are 30-10 ATS under Andy Reid as a road team against AFC opponents.

Seahawks vs. Rams

Trend to Know

Since the start of the 2003 season, home underdogs in division games that lost the previous head-to-head matchup by three points or less are 13-8-1 ATS.

How To Sign Up for DraftKings Sportsbook

DraftKings Sportsbook is available in Pennsylvania, New Jersey, Indiana, and West Virginia. You can sign up right here .