Some knowledge for you on this Monday afternoon.
The Eagles are 4-0 both straight-up and against the spread as an underdog over the past two postseasons. Nick Foles, meanwhile, is 6-0 against the spread and straight-up as an underdog when he starts in meaningful games during his second stint with the Eagles. The lone loss came in last season’s Week 17 glorified exhibition against the Cowboys.
Quite literally, when Foles and the Eagles have been counted out and left for dead, they have been money. Each week leading up to these games there is some supposedly new insurmountable roadblock that will ultimately mark their demise:
- The Falcons have too much playoff experience!
- The Vikings’ defense is elite. They are a team of destiny!
- Cute run and all, but now you have to deal with the Patriots!
- The Rams can’t be stopped with Sean McVay calling the shots!
- The Bears defense can’t be beat!
While oddsmakers still aren’t fully embracing the idea of an Eagles’ repeat, a quick look at an inconsistent betting market suggests they may be coming around, albeit slowly, on Doug Pederson’s squad.
Let’s start with this week. The Eagles initially opened as a 10-point underdog to the Saints at FanDuel Sportsbook, but the line is now down to -8 there as of Monday afternoon and at DraftKings Sportsbook, so the early money is flowing through Philadelphia.
Meanwhile, it’s a mixed bag on the futures market. The Eagles face the worst odds of any NFL team at FanDuel to reach the Super Bowl at +1000. The Cowboys face the second-longest odds at +750. Interestingly, however, the Eagles (+1900) have better odds to win it all than the Cowboys (+2100). Don’t expect that disparity to last much longer.
DraftKings is a bit more bullish on the Eagles. They are only +600 to win the NFC and +1200 to win at all. Both numbers are considerably shorter than Dallas’ +800 odds to win the NFC and +1800 to win the Super Bowl. In the AFC, the Colts also face long odds at +1200 to hoist the Lombardi Trophy.
The bad news? Even after Sunday’s stunner in Chicago, the Eagles remain far from favorites moving forward. I guess it might have something to do with that 48-7 November thumping in New Orleans. The good? The books know Dallas has no shot. Plus, if the Eagles get through this round? Look out.