No, The Giants Are Not Four Times More Likely To Acquire Bryce Harper

Photo Credit: Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports

Hello, web folk. It is me and I have a new pet peeve: sports media people citing offshore sportsbook odds on stupid props as some sort of bastion of space-time inevitability.

Corey Seidman is the latest victim, along with Ryan Lawrence:

I love Corey – top 3 online Phillies voice along with Jack Fritz and our own Bob Wankel – but these odds mean nothing. Sportsbook.ag, Bovada, BetDSI, Sportsbook.GTFO or, worse Odds Shark, are not “Vegas,” or even regulated sportsbooks— they are offshore books offering odds on trendy topics for the sole purpose of gaining publicity and links, baby. Odds Shark isn’t even a sportsbook— they’re just a website that follows the industry. These are not any of the legal, regulated sportsbooks operating right here in Pennsylvania and New Jersey. It’s not DraftKings or FanDuel or MGM or SugarHouse or Caesars or literally any regulated entity with careful risk assessment that offers well-considered odds, perhaps indicating a likelihood of a certain outcome. Why we, as a species, continue to cite these things is beyond me.

Don’t get me wrong, there is absolutely value in citing odds to glean some understanding of probability, but rarely when it comes to the offshore sites. In fact, I’d wager that they released this line solely to entice dolts in Philly and San Fran to give them some #buzz.

In fact, we received this press release (from their PR consultant), and here’s what it ended with:

If you have any questions, inquiries, or would like unique odds created exclusively for your audience please email us directly.

Yeah, that’s for publicity.

So, no, the Giants are not 400% more likely to land Bryce Harper. These are low-limit props, nothing more. And I don’t suspect there is enough market action to actually sway the line in this direction. Just something to get attention.

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8 Comments

  • Big dom February 11, 2019 at 2:46 pm

    The Cuz thinks we’re getting Harper and Machado!

    Reply
  • Salivating February 11, 2019 at 2:55 pm

    How is this even a story the day after Ben Snowflake attempted his first NBA 3 pointer?! Give us white, jock-sniffing, cuck, libs what we want! 24-7-365 brown man league coverage!

    Reply
  • Rod King February 11, 2019 at 3:04 pm

    Finally a non sixers post. I was beginning to think Jim worked there again

    Reply
  • em February 11, 2019 at 3:04 pm

    This is all Boras trying to manufacture any kind of competition to raise the price. It’s all optics and it seems he isn’t getting what he wants and is trying everything in his book to create a Rangers-ARod situation where the idiot owner and GM were so clueless they bet against themselves and added 10s of millions of dollar more than the second-best offer.

    Reply
  • When do the weekly mailbags or more in depth posts start? February 11, 2019 at 3:07 pm

    Where did the the “f—- ton “of writers go? Sean Cottrell? Tyler Trumbauer? Kevin Love?

    “But subscribers will get access to our longer, more in-depth posts, including weekly mailbags from our writers focusing on a specific team or topic.”

    Reply
    • Not the hero we need, but the hero we deserve February 11, 2019 at 4:01 pm

      As one of the suckers who got scammed into a subscription for a year you’re my new favorite commenter. Not the hero we need, but the hero we deserve.

      Reply
    • Little Timmy Gudel February 11, 2019 at 4:06 pm

      You forgot my mommy. I’m 11!!!!!

      Reply
  • tc February 11, 2019 at 3:34 pm

    they don’t want to play in philly

    Reply
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