Phillies Look Like Bad Bet Against Dodgers Again Tonight

Phillies Dodgers Betting Preview
PHOTO CREDIT: ERIC HARTLINE-USA TODAY SPORTS

So the Phillies lost to the Dodgers by a 16-2 tally last night in what was a nationally televised game. Those of you that take part in online sports betting in PA and had money on the Phillies know this all too well.

They twice left the bases loaded early on before allowing the Dodgers to execute both a suicide squeeze in which nobody covered first base and a steal of home.

Somehow, that wasn’t the most embarrassing part of LA’s six-run fourth inning.

When Zach Eflin finally recorded the third out after the Dodgers sent 10 men to the plate, well, you see, the Phillies forgot that there were three outs.

Ah yes, question asking. Here’s a question: How does that happen? Come on, Gabe. Light them up! Do it. 

Naturally, things got worse from there as a depleted bullpen was obliterated by a potent Dodgers lineup. Just ask Yacksel Rios.

Rios was ejected a batter later, leaving centerfielder Roman Quinn to mop things up in multi-inning appearance, which is what you always want – particularly from a guy that has a lengthy injury history. But hey, the beautiful thing about baseball is that no matter how bad things may seem, there’s always an opportunity to get back on the horse and try again the next day.

Then again, maybe that’s not a good thing.

The Phillies are once again a monster underdog tonight as they will send Vince Velasquez to the mound to square off against the Dodgers’ Walker Buehler. Let’s take a look at what to expect.

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Phillies-Dodgers Odds

Here are the Phillies-Dodgers odds for tonight’s game. Odds listed are as of 10:15 a.m. Tuesday morning.

DraftKings Sportsbook

Run Line Money Total
Phillies +1.5 (-103) +165 O 9 (-122)
Dodgers -1.5 (-115) -190 U 9 (+100)

BetRivers Sportsbook

Run Line Money Total
Phillies +1.5 (-103) +165 O 9 (-120)
Dodgers -1.5 (-115) -190 U 9 (+104)

PointsBet

Run Line Money Total
Phillies +1.5 (+105) +165 O 9.5 (+100)
Dodgers -1.5 (-125) -196 U 9.5 (-121)

Want to grab the under? Get it at PointsBet where the total is currently set at 9.5 runs . If you like the Phillies, you can grab them at either SugarHouse Sportsbook (BetRivers), DraftKings Sportsbook, or PointsBet. Currently, they are +165 at all three books. You can also get the best price on a Dodgers moneyline bet at SugarHouse Sportsbook (BetRivers) and DraftKings.

Phillies-Dodgers General Betting Trends

Keep an eye on this moneyline. The Phillies were as much as a +170 moneyline underdog this morning before dipping to +165. If that number jumps back up over the +170 threshold, this game will mark the largest moneyline home underdog the Phillies have been during the Gabe Kapler era.

In fact, they’ve only been a +170 or greater home dog 32 times since the start of the 2005 season and all 32 of those games were played between 2013-2017. They are 12-20 (+476) in those games. If the line sits at +165, they have played one game at that number under Kapler, which they lost 6-0 to the Yankees last June.

The Dodgers, despite having the superior club in recent seasons, are only 7-7 overall at Citizens Bank Park dating back to 2015.

The Phillies are 28-20 at home this season, while the Dodgers are 26-21 on the road. Neither team has been profitable in these home/away roles.

Depending on what data source you go by, the Phillies have been a home underdog either three or five times this season. Either way, they haven’t won in this role yet. They have struggled as an underdog in general going 10-22 (-$913). Overall, they have been one of the least profitable underdog bets in all of baseball this season.

The Phillies are also only 4-11 when a moneyline underdog of +135 or more and 2-5 when a moneyline underdog of +148 or more.

The Dodgers, meanwhile, have been profitable as a favorite at 59-29 (+$676). More specifically, they are 22-17 (-$178) as a road favorite this season. Los Angeles is also 6-2 when a road moneyline favorite of -180 or more and 5-1 when a moneyline favorite of -185 or more.

Interestingly, despite the Dodgers’ significant pop from the left side, they are only 15-14 (-$384) on the road in games started by a right-handed pitcher this season, though one of those wins came in convincing fashion last night.

In terms of the pitching matchup, the Phillies are 4-6 (-$213) in Velasquez’s 10 starts, while the Dodgers are 12-5 ($+191) in Buehler’s 17 starts.

Phillies-Dodgers Prediction

Pair the information above with the eye test. Is it possible the Phillies rebound tonight? I guess. But I can’t possibly recommend backing a demoralized team with the inferior starting pitcher and a depleted bullpen against the Dodgers lineup.

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