On Tuesday night, the Philadelphia 76ers play host to the Denver Nuggets at Wells Fargo Center. This marks the second matchup between the teams on the season, though it’ll be the first time this season that Sixers point guard Ben Simmons will take the floor against Denver. At 17-7, the Sixers are in fourth place in a very tight race where second through fifth place are separated by just 1.5 games. As it stands, the Sixers are four games behind the Milwaukee Bucks. Meanwhile, the Nuggets are in fourth place in the West with a record of just 14-7 and are 5.5 games back of the Los Angeles Lakers.
The Sixers are undefeated at home this season and are looking to avenge a 100-97 loss they suffered on November 8 in Denver. In that game, they were without starting PG Ben Simmons, though they did have their projected starting shooting guard Josh Richardson in that game. Richardson, however, only contributed seven points in 32 minutes. The team has also learned to play without him throughout his absence. The Nuggets, meanwhile, are a fully-healthy squad, which will test the Sixers’ defensive depth. That said, this should be another SIxers home win.
With that, let’s get into our Sixers-Nuggets betting preview.
Sixers vs. Nuggets Odds
Here’s the line for the Sixers and Nuggets at DraftKings Sportsbook PA:
- Spread: Sixers -4, Nuggets +4
- Moneyline: Sixers -182, Nuggets +150
- Total: 207.5
Bets We Like With a Sixers Win
FiveThirtyEight gives the Sixers a 64% chance of winning with a -3.5 point line. There are two positive trends that should make you feel better about props/parlays with a Sixers win: Philly has won all twelve of their home games this season and their past 17 home games at night dating back to the 2018-19 season.
Sixers Win and Over Total Points (+215, DraftKings)
Following the line of thinking that the Sixers will win this game, there’s value on this pick. Despite the fact that five of the last six Nuggets games have gone under the total point threshold and Philly has done the same twice and landed a push against Toronto, this game has the feel of an over due to how low the number is. Sure, aside from a blowout win over the Knicks a few games ago, the Nuggets haven’t blown past the 100-point mark, but Philly’s played some great offense and has shot the ball well at home recently. For what it’s worth, you can get the exact same odds with the under if you prefer to follow the recent trends.
Bets We Like Independent of Outcome
Ben Simmons to Make the First FG (+900, DraftKings)
It’s by no means a sure thing, but the Sixers have scored the first field goal in eight of their last ten games. Ben Simmons has scored the first field goal four times, while Tobias Harris and Joel Embiid have done it twice apiece. Harris is also worth taking a flier on at +500, though Embiid’s value at -134 isn’t really worth it.
Sixers Win the First Quarter -1 (-117, DraftKings)
The Sixers have won the first quarter in each of their last eleven home games. It’s a hot bet to get in on until something changes. If you’re nervous they’ll only win the first quarter by a single point, the bet is available without the one point spread at -148.
Sixers Win the First and Second Quarters (+188, Fox Bet)
If you’re looking to boost the odds on the Sixers winning the first quarter, FOX Bet has a great one available. The Sixers have won the first two quarters in four of their last six home games, including three in a row. This is a solid boost if you believe the home team will come out hot in both quarters.
Shot in the Dark
Ben Simmons to Record a Triple-Double (+550, FOX Bet)
Triple-doubles are hard to come by, but keep some numbers in mind before you scoff at this. Despite averaging just 15.5 PTS/8.0 AST/5.0 REB per game against Denver a season ago, Ben Simmons is averaging 16 PTS/8.9 AST/7.5 REB in eleven home games this season. In the month of December, those numbers sit at 20.3 PTS/8.8 AST/6.8 REB per game.
Sixers vs. Nuggets Prediction
Pick: Sixers win a close game and over the total points.