The Eagles vs. Ravens line has held fairly steady throughout the week, but the latest betting splits show that bettors at DraftKings Sportsbook and FanDuel Sportsbook are all over the same sides this week.
While (some) Eagles fans will be back at Lincoln Financial Field on Sunday, bettors don’t seem too worried about the potential impact –like at all. Can’t say that I blame them, unless the sound emanating from 6,000 people can somehow fix this:
Nate Gerry has been targeted 23 times for 23 receptions, 267 yards, 4 TDs & a passer rating of 154.6. (per PFF).
He's one of only two 26 linebackers to have surrendered a catch on every single target (min. 20 att.).
— Michael Kist (@MichaelKistNFL) October 14, 2020
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Strong Betting Splits at DraftKings and FanDuel
Still, the betting data is pretty eye-popping. Over at FanDuel, 83% of all point spread bets and 87% of the handle (total money bet) back the Ravens. The numbers at DraftKings Sportsbook are similar. Baltimore is drawing 76% of spread bets and 82% of the handle.
I guess the Travis Fulgham hype hasn’t made its way to the legal betting markets just yet.
Despite the heavy one-sided action, the line has held steady throughout the week at Ravens -7.5. It will be interesting to see if the disparity in the betting splits continues as the bulk of bets flood in on this game between now and Sunday morning.
If the pattern does hold, expect this line to surge up over -8 and beyond.
A Concerning Eagles-Ravens Betting Trend
It turns out Ravens bettors may be onto something, particularly if this trend holds up:
Since 2003, home underdogs of 7-10 points that are coming off a road loss as an underdog of 7-10 points the previous week are 12-27-2 ATS. If you shrink the trend to 7-9 points in each week, those teams are just 6-14-2 ATS.
That does not bode well for the Eagles, who, of course, lost last week at Pittsburgh as a seven-point underdog.
Bettors Pounding the Over
It’s hard to believe, but bettors at FanDuel and DraftKings are somehow even more aligned on the total.
As of Thursday afternoon, 90% of all bets and 96% of the handle at FanDuel is on the over, while 89% of all bets and 92% of the money at DraftKings is on the same side.
The main takeaway?
If you’re into betting against the public, this game is for you.
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