There’s no shortage of drama or star power in the AFC Championship Game showdown between the Bills and Chiefs.

With players such as Patrick Mahomes, Josh Allen, Tyreek Hill, Travis Kelce and Stefon Diggs on the field, the prop betting market figures to be active in this one, so let’s take a look at our best Bills vs. Chiefs AFC Championship game prop bet picks.

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Bills vs. Chiefs Prop Bets

Before we jump into the Bills-Chiefs prop picks, let’s first take a look at the current odds. The listed prices are accurate as of Saturday late Saturday morning  at FanDuel Sportsbook.

Buffalo Bills +3 (+102) // +156 // O 54.5 (-106)
Kansas City Chiefs -3 (-124) // -186 // U 54.5 (-114)

The winner of this game could emerge as the Super Bowl favorite. The Chiefs have been the odds-on favorite to win the Super Bowl all year long. If they win, they will be the obvious favorite in a few weeks. The scorching-hot Bills, on the other hand, could assert themselves with what would be an impressive win over the defending champions.

Josh Allen Over 305.5 Passing Yards (-112)

Josh Allen threw for 306 or more yards in 9 of his 18 games this season, though he did throw for a season-low 122 yards in the first meeting between these two teams. The guess here is that things will be much different this time around.

Essentially, this is a complete toss-up. Normally, we would advise picking either side of a “toss up” bet like this, but this is a much different circumstance.

The Bills are going to have to throw the ball a decent amount to keep up with the Chiefs. We know Allen is capable of winning shootouts when he needs to. Contextually, Allen will likely be in a position to throw the football in this game, something he has done on early 70% of the Bills’ plays this postseason. It’s expected that he will need to match Mahomes blow for blow, or the Bills fall behind early, putting Allen in position to gain yards late as Buffalo tries to catch up.

Against a Chiefs defense that has been increasingly suspect late in the season, grab the over on Allen’s passing yards.

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Stefon Diggs To Score And Bills to Win (+260)

Most guys have better odds on this player prop, but most guys are not Stefon Diggs. The NFL’s leading pass-catcher has hauled in touchdowns in eight of his 18 games so far this year. In those eight games, the Bills have six wins.

So, it’s fair to say that when Diggs scores, the Bills have a very good chance at winning. Given the likely high-flying tempo both teams will play with on Sunday, Diggs should be in a good position to score at least once.

In short, if you like the Bills to win, we suggest maximizing the profits on the risk by pairing it with him to score.

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Patrick Mahomes Over 36.5 Pass Attempts (-115)

It’s the playoffs and the Chiefs are going head to head against a high-powered offense. That usually means that Patrick Mahomes is going to be throwing the ball early and often. While there are some concerns about Mahomes’ health entering this game, it’s a championship contest and Andy Reid likely won’t have the luxury of holding back Mahomes with a conservative game plan.

Expect the ever aggressive Reid to come out of the gates letting Mahomes air it out. If the Bills can hang around, which we expect they will, Reid will continue to lean on his MVP quarterback. That means Mahomes could end up flying past 36.5 pass attempts in this game, something he has done in seven of his last nine outings.

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