On Tuesday night, the Philadelphia Flyers (8-5-3) will try to put an end to their first losing streak of the season when they visit the Tampa Bay Lightning (10-4-3) at Amalie Arena. This will be the second of three meetings between the teams this season. The Lightning defeated the Flyers 4-3 in a shootout just five days ago in Philadelphia.
Let’s get into our Flyers vs. Lightning betting pick with player prop predictions, odds, and analysis for this November 23, 2021 matchup.
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The Flyers offensive struggles have become chronic at this point. They have scored just 20 goals in their last 11 games, yet somehow still have a winning record in those games (5-4-2). The goaltending of Carter Hart has been the primary reason for that modicum of success. Hart has been the Flyers MVP through the team’s first 16 games.
The defense, which played well earlier in the season, has begun to leak a little oil. And while it’s not the dumpster fire it was a season ago, there’s only so long you can count on Justin Braun as a top pair defenseman and a third unit of Keith Yandle and Nick Seeler has been slightly better than atrocious, whatever that adjective would be.
There’s no doubt the Flyers dearly miss top pair defenseman Ryan Ellis, who has only played three games this season while battling a lower body injury that will have him on the shelf at least through Christmas and likely into the New Year.
They also miss center Kevin Hayes, who, after two offseason abdominal surgeries fixing the same core muscle injury, reinjured it again in his second game back in the lineup, has missed the last two games and is considered week to week as he tries to recover again.
Their depth is being tested, and it’s in the middle of a brutal stretch against excellent teams.
Tampa is one of those teams, and is 8-1-2 in their last 11 games. However, the Lightning took a big hit losing star forward Braydon Point with an upper body injury last week.
The Lightning still have a lot of top end talent in the lineup with Steven Stamkos leading the charge up front, Perrennial Norris Trophy candidate Victor Hedman anchoring the blue line and former Vezina Trophy winner Andrei Vasilievskiy in net.
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Flyers vs. Lightning Odds
Here are the lines for Flyers vs. Lightning at FanDuel Sportsbook:
Spread: Flyers (+1.5, -184), Lightning (-1.5, +148)
Moneyline: Flyers (+150), Lightning (-182)
Over/Under: Over 5.5 (-110), Under 5.5 (-110)
Bets We Like with a Lightning Win
Corey Perry to score one or more goals (+300, BetMGM)
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With Point out of the lineup, the Lightning are going to need some secondary scoring to provide a boost if they want to continue their run of success. The Flyers actually defend well against top lines, so Tampa’s advantage may come from their heavy third line which includes Perry, former Flyer Pierre-Edouard Bellemare and former Flyers prospect Patrick Maroon. Perry is the best scorer of the three, and they will likely be given an advantageous matchup on most shifts with Tampa coach John Cooper getting the last change at home, meaning he’ll try and get them out there against some undersized Flyers forwards (look for him to try and get them on the second line of Claude Giroux, Derick Brassard and Cam Atkinson). That should be an advantage for Tampa and a solid value player prop for you.
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Bets We Like with a Flyers Win
Claude Giroux to score a goal (+265, Barstool Sportsbook)
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Giroux has been the Flyers most consistent offensive player this season, averaging a point per game, and he’s going to have to be the guy the Flyers lean on to try and hang with the Lightning. The good news is, until they lost to Boston on Saturday, the Flyers had won eight straight games coming off of a loss, so they are a resilient bunch. This will be their first test coming off two losses, and Giroux knows they can’t afford to go into an extended slump, so look for the captain to lead the way.
On a separate note, if you are truly feeling frisky, Ivan Provorov to score a goal is +525 at Barstool Sportsbook. He doesn’t score often, but he has scored a goal in four of his last five games in Amalie Arena, so maybe that’s worth taking a flier on too.
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Bets We Like Independent of Outcome
OVER 5.5 total goals in the game (-110, DraftKings Sportsbook)
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Whenever the Flyers and Lightning get together, there seems to be a good amount of offense. Last game, the teams combined for seven goals. In fact, 10 of the last 11 games played between the Flyers have been over 5.5 goals. This one seems easy, regardless of who wins.
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Flyers vs. Lightning Prediction
Expect a similar game to the way the two teams played last week at Wells Fargo Center. In fact, we wouldn’t be surprised if it went to overtime again. Or a shootout again. And if it gets there, frankly, the Flyers have no shot – as usual.
Prediction: Lightning 4, Flyers 3 (SO)
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