On Monday night, the Philadelphia 76ers will play host to the Portland Trail Blazers at the Wells Fargo Center. The Sixers are coming off a comprehensive and dominant win over the Atlanta Hawks on Saturday night. The Trail Blazers lost to the Hornets in Charlotte last night.

Let’s get into our Sixers vs. Trail Blazers betting pick with player prop predictions, odds, and analysis for this November 1, 2021 matchup.

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Sixers vs. Trail Blazers Betting Pick (November 1, 2021)

As the seasons keep rolling by him, it’s hard not to feel a little bit sorry for Damian Lillard. Granted, it’s ridiculous to feel sorry for a guy making over $176 million for this season and the next three after signing a four-year extension. In his age-34 season, Lillard’s base salary will be $48,787,676. This season, he’s making do with $39,244,900. Money isn’t the issue.

The issue is, no matter how wealthy you are, you cannot buy time. Lillard has put a lot of miles on his odometer over nine seasons as a Portland Trail Blazer. His teams have always been good – the only season the Trail Blazers didn’t make the playoffs with Lillard on the team was his rookie season. So there have been eight playoff runs, and unfortunately for Lillard, five of them ended in the first round (including each of the last two seasons). 

Lillard is slowly creeping into that category of “longest tenured star athlete in one city who hasn’t won anything.” That’s not a category any elite athlete wants to end up a part of. Russell Westbrook spent 11 seasons in Oklahoma City and the Thunder made only one NBA Finals appearance over that stretch. Allen Iverson was a 76er for a decade before squeezing out a couple of productive seasons with the Denver Nuggets. In his time in Philadelphia, the Sixers only made one NBA Finals appearance. Iverson retired without a championship, and Westbrook appears to be on the same ultimately ringless path.


And because of his contract, Lillard is now a player who probably has more value to the Trail Blazers as a “face of the franchise” guy than he is apt to have with any other team. Trading Lillard now means finding a trade partner with cap room and/or significant contract(s) to send back. Additionally, it’s difficult to imagine a team throwing in a high first round pick or a star in a deal for Lillard – if it was going to happen, it was probably going to happen over the past offseason.

So Lillard will keep chugging along with the Trail Blazers, who at least can look to the regression of teams like the Golden State Warriors and the Los Angeles Lakers as perhaps creating a new path to a deep playoff run. For Lillard’s sake, they’d better be right about that.

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Sixers vs. Trail Blazers Odds

Here’s the line for the Sixers and Trail Blazers at FanDuel Sportsbook:

  • Spread: Sixers -2 (-110), Trail Blazers +2 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Sixers -126, Trail Blazers +108
  • Total: 219.5

Bets We Like With a Sixers Win

Sixers to Win and Over 219.5 Total Points (+228, FanDuel Sportsbook)

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The Trail Blazers are giving up 121 points per game through the first six games of the season, and they let the Hornets hang 125 points on them just last night. When your best two defensive players are Robert Covington (Process, baby) and Jusuf Nurkic, you’re more than a little bit susceptible to some bad nights on the defensive end of the court. Additionally, Lillard doesn’t pretend to emphasize defense, not any more, anyway, and CJ McCollum is only adequate at that end. The Sixers had six players reach double figures in scoring on Saturday night, which is as many as they have averaging double figures for the season. Add in Embiid’s absence (rest) and the recipe is there for a high-scoring track meet.

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Bets We Like Independent of Outcome

Damian Lillard Over 26.5 Points (-110, DraftKings Sportsbook)

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Lillard is off to, for him, a slow start to the 2021-2022 NBA season. He is “only” averaging 18.3 points per game which, if that average holds for the entire campaign, would be the lowest average of his career. Lillard had 14 points last night on 5-20 shooting against the Hornets. This wager is a “back of the bubble gum card” wager. If you believe Lillard is suddenly somehow cooked, fade it. But don’t say we didn’t warn you.

Trail Blazers to Win First Quarter Getting 1.5 (-140, DraftKings Sportsbook)

The Sixers have been a very good first quarter team this season, going 5-1 in their first six first quarters. But they had Embiid in all of those games. Doc Rivers is not exactly known for his lineup flexibility or canny adjustments. The starting five for the Trail Blazers may not defend a whole lot, but they do score, and if Lillard breaks out (as predicted above), for 12 minutes, the Trail Blazers should be the better side.

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Tobias Harris Over 21.5 Points (-110, FOX Bet)

With Embiid out and Ben Simmons still out there, the scoring load is going to fall to Harris. That hasn’t been a problem for Harris so far this season, as the heretofore third of the Sixers’ big three is averaging just under 20 points per game in the early going. As noted above, the Trail Blazers don’t have a lot of quality defenders to run at Harris. If he was more of a volume scorer, this would be a night to pick Harris to go over 30, but given his reticence to go to the basket (10 free throws attempted in six games), this line feels right.

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Seth Curry Over 15.5 Points (-115, Barstool Sportsbook)

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The books are going to keep bumping Curry’s point totals up until eventually it gets to something like 17.5, at which point the play will be to hit the under pretty hard. Tonight, though, in a game where Curry is apt to get several good looks at open three-point shots, and in a game where he will be expected to help account for the points Embiid usually provides, asking Curry to score 16 or more is only rational.

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Sixers vs. Trail Blazers Prediction

There a two significant conflicting factors at play here. Embiid’s absence should have meant a significant line shift toward the Trail Blazers. In the Sixers’ favor, the Trail Blazers are on the second half of a back-to-back and they’ll be playing a third game in four nights in Cleveland on Wednesday night — a game that they’ll be favored to win, a game they might be tempted to rest guys for if this game against the Sixers gets out of hand. The Sixers wouldn’t be much of a team as constructed without Embiid for a long stretch, but for one night, they can handle his absence.

Pick: Sixers -2 (-110, FanDuel Sportsbook)

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