The Eagles return to the scene of last weekend’s disappointing effort as they look to rebound against a struggling Jets squad. While this is most certainly not one of the weekend’s elite matchups, there figures to be strong betting action on it.
Let’s jump into this NFL Week 13 matchup with a look at the best Eagles vs. Jets player props picks.
Eagles vs. Jets Player Props Picks
Ryan Griffin Anytime Touchdown Scorer
It’s almost impossible to ignore the possibility of an opposing tight end scoring against the Eagles defense. And with Ryan Griffin returning nearly a 4-1 payout on wagers here, he is certainly worth a play.
Philadelphia has allowed 10 tight end scores over the last 10 weeks, including one on this field to the Giants last Sunday, a team that had only three tight end scores all season going into Week 12. So, we shouldn’t be put off by the fact that the Jets have just two tight end scores in 2021. Notably, the tight ends who are scoring on the Eagles aren’t household names. In fact, Ryan Griffin has probably had a more respectable NFL career than most of the guys on the list.
Touchdown pass #2 from Josh Johnson, this one to Ryan Griffin
— Jets Videos (@snyjets) November 5, 2021
Based on this contest’s spread and the trajectory of their season, the Jets may be chasing this game in the second half and need to go to the pass more often. Also, with New York’s leading rusher sidelined, the Jets may have to lean on the passing game more regularly in the red zone.
Griffin has played in all 11 games this season, something only three Jets skill players can claim, and he is the only one who is a tight end. His usage has increased rather dramatically of late. After registering just three catches once in his first seven games, never tallying more than 22 receiving yards, he has caught at least three passes on three different occasions over his last four games.
Unsurprisingly, his one score this year came in that last block of games. If he continues his recent average of over four targets per game in this one, chances are good that he pulls one down in the end zone for a team now lacking a power back for goal-to-go situations.
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Quez Watkins Anytime Touchdown Scorer
Philadelphia wide receivers have not scored a touchdown in two straight games and Quez Watkins has not scored one this season. However, we think this is a tremendous spot for both streaks to end. First, Eagles receivers have not gone three straight games without a score this season, having notched at least one touchdown in six of the team’s 11 games.
The group responded after its other two-game scoring drought by finding a touchdown on the road in the next outing and both games this season in which they were responsible for multiple scores came away from home. Meanwhile, the Jets have conceded the fourth most passing yards and the most points per game in the league and have allowed a wide receiver to score in six straight games.
Huge catch by Quez Watkins! pic.twitter.com/YS2himRKMh
— Word On The Birds (@WordOnTheBirds) November 28, 2021
Opposing wideouts have produced nine touchdowns in the Jets’ last six outings and they are scoring in various ways. Two of the scores came on rushes and another came on a pass from another receiver. This opens the door for Watkins a bit, as he is the only Philadelphia receiver with a rush to his name this season besides Jalen Reagor, who probably shouldn’t bother putting pads on after an utterly embarrassing performance last week.
Four of the 11 touchdowns New York has allowed to opposing wide receivers went for over 20 yards. The deep ball is a specialty of Watkins, as he has seven catches of 20 yards or more already this season, third most on the team behind DeVonta Smith and Dallas Goedert.
Be sure to check out our Eagles-Jets game pick and prediction.
Watkins has played in all 12 game and is third on the team in both receptions and receiving yards behind just Smith and Goedert. His 15.4 yards per catch average is also the NFL’s 15th best mark. With multiple catches in all but one of Philadelphia’s games this season and with Smith likely to draw a ton of attention from the Jets’ secondary, Watkins is a great value to nab his first touchdown of the season.
Philadelphia Defense Anytime Touchdown Scorer
Like Ryan Griffin, the Eagles defense is returning nearly 4:1 to score in this one and we believe they have a considerable opportunity to do so. It’s true, the Jets are one of just 11 teams in the league yet to concede a score to an opposing defense. In fact, New York is one of only eight teams to not allow a defensive or special teams touchdown in 2021. But, frankly, what are the odds that this horrific team will keep that streak alive?
After all, New York turns the ball over 2.2 times per game this year, the highest number in football and one that jumps to 2.8 when the Jets are at home, also an NFL-worst.
Jets rookie Zack Wilson has thrown 10 interceptions already, seventh most in the league, despite playing just seven games, and has also fumbled three times. He has been sacked 3.29 times per game, the highest rate of any qualifying quarterback, and at just 6’2”, is susceptible to tipped balls and strip sacks, perfect recipes for a defensive score.
Philadelphia has a defense predisposed to scoring defensive touchdowns, too. They have three fumble returns/recoveries for touchdowns, as well as an interception brought back for a score.
— Brodes Media (@BrodesMedia) November 14, 2021
No team in the league has more defensive scores than the four the Eagles have produced. Three of those came in the team’s last five games and three of those scores also came on the road. Worth noting, Philly has only generated the 24th most turnovers per game this season, but that even heightens how impressive their four defensive scores statistic is. And, against a turnover prone team, they should get a couple chances to run one back here.
The Eagles have not been very good at getting to the quarterback this season, but they do average 2.6 sacks per game on the road, tied for the tenth best mark in the league. Against a rookie who has been sacked more per game than anyone in football this year, the Birds should have some chances to hit Wilson here.
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