On Friday night, the Sixers will host the San Antonio Spurs at the Wells Fargo Center. The tide is high for the Sixers right now. They have won five in a row and presently sit fifth in the Eastern Conference standings. The Spurs are clinging to the last playoff play-in spot in the Western Conference at 15-22. They did the Sixers a favor by beating the Boston Celtics on Wednesday night.

Let’s get into our Sixers vs. Spurs betting pick with player prop predictions, odds, and analysis for this January 7, 2022 matchup.

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Sixers vs. Spurs Betting Pick (January 7, 2022)

Gregg Popovich won five NBA titles in San Antonio. This is a historical fact, and yet just reading it makes your head spin. NBA titles are commonplace in big cities, big markets, with huge fan bases and super-wealthy owners. You expect the likes of the Los Angeles Lakers and the Chicago Bulls to win handfuls of titles. You don’t look for that to happen in a place like San Antonio, far more a town than a city, a place where they only have one major league sports team.

Tim Duncan was the biggest reason for the Spurs’ dominance. Duncan was not only remarkably talented and a consistent winner, he was also amazingly durable. In his 19-year career, all of it spent in San Antonio, Duncan’s lowest number of games played in a non-lockout season was the 61 games he played in his final season. And that was mainly because Popovich by that time had gotten very serious about giving Duncan nights off to manage his workload. It’s not a coincidence that since Duncan’s retirement, the Spurs have drifted out of prominence and into non-playoff obscurity.

The cost of having a coach as great as Popovich, of course, is that your team never really bottoms out. Popovich is such a great coach that he can take moribund, middling teams like the one he’s had the past two years and win just enough games (32 in 2019-2020, 33 in 2020-2021) to miss the playoffs but not accrue the lion’s share of the lottery balls. Obviously, you’ll take the five rings and deal with this kind of fallout. It’s not much fun to watch now, though.

And you wonder how much longer Popovich will want to keep at this. He’s 72 years old and in the last year of his most recent three-year contract, earning an estimated $11 million annually. It’s hard to walk away from that kind of money. It’s also hard to imagine that Popovich needs to keep working. Ironically, as long as Popovich is still coaching the Spurs, they’re apt to stay stuck in this low-but-not-low-enough position, missing the playoffs and not landing the next great star in the draft. Given what he accomplished in San Antonio, though, it’ll probably be up to Popovich to decide when he leaves the bench.

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Sixers vs. Spurs Odds

Here’s the line for the Sixers and Spurs at FanDuel Sportsbook:

  • Point Spread: Sixers -7 (-114), Spurs +7 (-106)
  • Moneyline: Sixers -290, Spurs +235
  • Total: 217.5

Bets We Like With a Sixers Win

Sixers to Win and Over 217.5 Total Points (+149, FanDuel Sportsbook)

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We hit with this one on Wednesday night when the Sixers, who had scored all of six points midway through the third quarter and looked like they might lose the game outright, pulled the nose of the plane up just in time, scored twenty points in the remainder of the quarter and eventually posted 116 points. The Spurs project to cooperate — prior to their 99-point output on Wednesday night, their prior six point totals were 104, 116, 105, 104, 144 and 136. They’ll score plenty, and this game is very likely to go over.

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Bets We Like Independent of Outcome

Dejounte Murray Under 19.5 Points (-125, Caesars Sportsbook)

Murray is one of the dozens of players that Sixers fans are trying to talk themselves into with regard to a potential Ben Simmons trade. The logic behind it is tied to Popovich embracing the challenge of unlocking the dominant player that Simmons could be if only he had the right coach. There are two reasons why this probably won’t happen. The first is that Popovich, as noted above, is probably not looking for this sort of challenge at this point in his career. The second is that, well, no coach can make Simmons a dominant player if he doesn’t want to be one. Make no mistake, by the way — trading Simmons for Murray would be fifty cents on the dollar. Murray is a good player at a position where there are a lot of good players, and his numbers wouldn’t be as gaudy playing with better teammates.

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Joel Embiid Over 1.5 Three Point Field Goals (+155, DraftKings Sportsbook)

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Prior to the last two games, Embiid had hit at least two three-pointers in four straight games. He has attempted three and a half treys per game over his career, and he has only attempted two in each of his past two games. He’s due to regress to his mean, i.e., jack up a few more ill-advised long balls, and he’ll probably stick at least two of them.

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Keita Bates-Diop Under 5.5 Rebounds (-110, FOX Bet)

Bates-Diop is averaging 3.9 rebounds per game this season and has averaged 2.8 rebounds per game for his career. He doesn’t get a ton of minutes, and his average this season is artificially inflated by the 11 rebounds he pulled down against Memphis on New Year’s Eve and the nine he took down against Denver on December 9. He’s boom or bust. Dealing with the likes of Embiid, Tobias Harris and Andre Drummond, tonight looks like it could be a bust.

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Sixers vs. Spurs Prediction

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Things in motion tend to stay in motion. The Sixers have won five games in a row and are in a real sweet spot in the schedule where they can stockpile wins against mediocre-to-worse teams. The Spurs fall in that category, as do their next opponent, the Houston Rockets. No need to look much further ahead than that, and no reason to think the Sixers cannot cover this line without a lot of difficulty.

Pick: Sixers -7.5 (-112, Barstool Sportsbook)

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