Euro 2024 is down to eight teams.

If you haven’t been paying attention, basically all of the big names in European soccer are still around in the final eight.

Spain plays host nation Germany, France/Portugal carries a ton of weight around the world because it’s Kylian Mbappe versus Cristiano Ronaldo, and then England and the Netherlands face the two underdogs left in Switzerland and Turkey.

Only Italy was a surprise loser in the round of 16. The two underdogs who advanced to the final eight are fascinating. Switzerland’s been uber-consistent on the international stage and Turkey is basically playing on home soil because of the large Turkish population in Germany.

Team Futures

Spain, England, France, and Germany all have odds anywhere from +400 to +450 across New Jersey online sports betting and Pennsylvania sportsbook apps.

The Netherlands and Portugal are next on the totem pole. The Dutch will be the underdog against England if they meet in the semifinals. Portugal is a significant underdog against France in the quarters.

Switzerland and Turkey are the only two teams over +1000 to win the tournament. That’s about right to me. Both teams are underdogs in the quarters and would be significant dogs in the semifinal round if they were to advance.

There’s no clear-cut favorite right now because a lot of the teams haven’t performed up to expectations. Spain and Germany have arguably been the two best teams and they play each other on Friday.

Golden Boot

Cody Gakpo of the Netherlands and Germany’s Jamal Musiala each have three goals and are the two favorites to win the Golden Boot.

Two other eliminated players have three goals as well (Georgia’s Georges Mikautadze and Slovakia’s Ivan Schranz). You could bet one of those players at over +2000 for a dead heat cash at best, but you’re taking a big risk there.

Harry Kane has two goals, as does Kai Havertz. Kylian Mbappe scored once and Cristiano Ronaldo is hilariously without a goal despite attempting 19 shots.

Gakpo might be worth betting at +450, even though his pre-tournament odds were much higher. He has six goals between the 2022 World Cup and Euro 2024 for the Netherlands. He faces a wide-open Turkey defense in the quarters and that could help him pad the advantage over everyone else.

Mbappe, Kane, and Ronaldo are all fascinating options because they’re their respective teams’ top scorers and they can take over at any time.

Mbappe had a hat-trick in the World Cup final and scored five knockout-round goals in Qatar. He has to be the best value play on the board for Golden Boot at this point. He’s either listed at +1100 or +1200 across various books.

Quarterfinal Bets

Soccer is different than any other sport with elimination game betting because you can bet the 90-minute lines, or team to advance to the knockout round.

The round of 16 featured two extra-time games, one of which went to penalties. Four games from the quarterfinals to the final went to extra time at Euro 2020, including both semifinals and the final. So just beware of that when you bet any of these games.

The easiest bet you can make for the quarters is in the France/Portugal game. You can Same Game Parlay Mbappe and Ronaldo to have three shots each at plus money. Ronaldo has 19 shots and has been forcing the issue any time he gets in front of the goal because he hasn’t scored yet. Mbappe has 14 shots in the tournament. I would look into a SGP shots ladder with both players.

The Netherlands are the heaviest favorite, but I would actually recommend betting them at -170 on the 90-minute money line. They delivered a sharp performance in the round of 16 and face a Turkey team that held on for dear life for 90 minutes to beat Austria. Turkey gave up the most goals of any knockout-round participant in the group stage and they allowed a ton of chances to Austria.

Spain/Germany is a straight up coin flip, France should beat Portugal, but if good Ronaldo shows up, it could be different, and England has been disappointing and faces a Swiss team that loves to defend.

The 90-minute under 2.5 is 7-1 in games that featured England and Switzerland, so that’s probably your best bet among those three.