We’ve already broken down the Packers/Eagles Wild Card game and will continue to do so, but there are five other games on the NFL weekend slate.

Before you place your wagers, take a look at the notable trends.

 

Chargers (-3) at Texans (Over/Under: 42.5) 

The Chargers are tied with the Broncos and Lions for the best against the spread record in the NFL.

Here’s the money trend for the Chargers: They are 7-1 ATS as a favorite of three or more points.


Houston owns a 3-3 ATS record as an underdog, but is 2-1 ATS when it is an underdog of three or more points.

The key over/under trend in this matchup comes from the Texans, who are 11-6 to the under and they’ve hit the over once when the total closed above 43 points. The Chargers are 3-3 to the over when the total closed at 43 or higher.

 

Steelers at Ravens (-10) (O/U: 43.5)

Baltimore has the best record to the over among the 14 playoff teams.

Only the Carolina Panthers matched the Ravens with a 13-4 mark to the over this season.

The Over 44 hit in the last game between the Steelers and Ravens on December 21st. That was the only over that hit in the last five Steelers regular-season games.

The Ravens have been favored by nine or more points four times this season and they’re 3-1 ATS in those games. Pittsburgh has not been an underdog of more than seven points in 2024. The Steelers are 6-3 ATS as an underdog, but they haven’t covered a spread of more than four points as a dog.

 

Broncos at Bills (-8.5) (O/U: 47.5)

Denver has an incredible 12-5 ATS mark.

Part of that has to do with how undervalued the Broncos were on the betting markets at the start of the season with a rookie quarterback leading them.

Denver is 2-2 ATS as an underdog of seven or more points and 4-2 ATS as a dog of six or more points. If you expand that more, the Broncos are 4-6 ATS as an underdog, with all four covers coming as a higher dog.

Buffalo is 2-1 ATS as a favorite of more than a touchdown and 3-4 to the over when the total closed above 47 points.

On the other hand, only one Denver game has closed with a total of 47 points or higher, so there’s zero true sample size to go off for the over/under of 47.5.

 

Commanders at Buccaneers (-3) (O/U: 50.5) 

Washington and Tampa Bay both rank inside the top 10 in ATS record and record to the over.

With that being said, only five combined games between the Commanders and Buccaneers have closed with a total of 50 or more points.

Washington is 1-1 to the over when the total closed above 50, while Tampa Bay is 1-2 in those spots.

This also seems crazy, but the Bucs haven’t been as small of a favorite all season as they are for Sunday. They are 5-4 ATS as a favorite, but all of those numbers have been 3.5 or higher, including the cover of a four-point spread in Week 1 against Washington.

 

Vikings (-1.5) at Rams (O/U: 46.5) 

Minnesota enters Monday with a 7-5 ATS record as a favorite.

However, one of those losses came in a 30-20 defeat to the Rams in October.

The Rams are 5-4 ATS as an underdog, but four of the five covers came as an underdog of three or more points.

Minnesota’s totals have trended toward the lower 40s all season, and the Vikings are only 2-3 to the over when the number closed at 47 or higher.

Eight of the nine unders that hit in Rams games this season came when the total closed at 47 or higher. The Rams are 3-8 to the over in 11 games where the total closed at 47 or more.

Whatever you end up doing, enjoy yourself. This, combined with the college football playoff semifinals, makes for one of the best weeks for PA sports betting and New Jersey sports betting apps.