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Trevor Zegras, Flyers in Great Spot as Underdog in Nashville
By Joe Tansey
Published:
The Flyers play their second game in a week against Nashville on Thursday night.
This time around, they’re a slight +105 money-line underdog at BetMGM for a road contest against a Predators team they beat 4-1 at home.
Rick Tocchet’s squad is likely only an underdog because the game’s location. Nashville lost five of its last six games and conceded at least three goals in all of those recent defeats.
All of the trends that were in play last Thursday in the same matchup apply to clash at Bridgestone Arena. Nashville still gives up the most shots on goal per game to right wingers. The Preds allow the eighth-most shots on goal per game to left wingers.
Last week, Trevor Zegras, Owen Tippett, Travis Konecny, and Matvei Michkov all had multiple shots on goal. Zegras scored twice and had three points in that win. I think you have to ride Zegras from the player prop perspective.
Zegras has 12 shots on goal and three points over his last three games. He’s had multiple shots on goal in seven consecutive games. Zegras’ shots on goal prop is Over/Under 1.5 at bet365 with the Over sitting at -190. He is +160 to have 3 SOG, +425 to have 4 SOG and +1000 to have 5 SOG.
With the trend, form, and matchup in his favor, I’d take the 2 and 3 SOG props with a very small sprinkle on the full ladder. Keep in mind at least one player for each of Nashville’s last three opponents had four SOGs. Vancouver and Calgary had multiple players with 5 or 6 SOG against the Preds.
For New Jersey and Pennsylvania sports betting, I’d consider running back an SGP that cashed last week for bet365’s 30 percent SGP boost. Konecny, Michkov, Tippett, and Zegras to all have 2+ SOG pays out at +290 before the boost is applied.
If you’re a little more adventurous, the 3+ SOG SGP pays out at +2400.
You can also just take the straight money line at +105, which can be boosted with BetMGM’s NHL Odds Boost Token.
Joe Tansey writes sports betting posts for Crossing Broad and also covers the Philadelphia Union for his Substack site, Union Soccer Blog.