Eagles

Player Props to Consider for the NFL’s Conference Championship Weekend

By Joe Tansey

Published: Jan 26th, 2024 · 1:45 PM EST

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Travis Kelce is one of the NFL’s elite postseason performers.

The Kansas City Chiefs tight end recorded at least 70 receiving yards in each of his last 11 playoff games. That run includes four 100-yard games and 12 touchdowns. That makes his receiving prop of 62.5 yards one of the most intriguing at PA sportsbooks and with NJ online betting, as we look forward to conference championship weekend.

Kelce should receive a ton of wagering attention in the buildup to the AFC Championship Game, but he’s far from the lone player to consider on the prop market.

Here are some props to take a look at for Sunday’s games.

 

Travis Kelce over/under 62.5 receiving yards

It’s stunning to see Kelce’s receiving prop this low given his playoff track record.

Sure, the Baltimore Ravens pose a difficult matchup for any offense, but Patrick Mahomes only has two targets he can trust right now: Kelce and Rashee Rice.

Kelce averages 84.7 receiving yards per game in the postseason and he has not gone under 60 yards since Super Bowl LIV against the San Francisco 49ers.

Kelce’s reception prop of 5.5 and touchdown price of +115 are worth looks as well for all the reasons stated above.

 

Rashod Bateman over/under 22.5 receiving yards

Lamar Jackson has a few wide receivers who could do damage against the Kansas City secondary.

One of them, presumably Zay Flowers, will be covered by the Chiefs’ all-world cornerback L’Jarius Sneed, and a lot of attention will be paid to Mark Andrews if he plays. Andrews was activated from IR on Friday.

Rashod Bateman had 39 yards off three catches in the divisional round and he posted 24 or more yards in three of his final four regular-season games.

He’s not the sexy pick in the AFC Championship Game, but he’s been a reliable pass-catcher down the stretch for Jackson.

 

David Montgomery over/under 42.5 rushing yards

Here’s a prop from the “Run The Damn Ball” department.

The Detroit Lions could throw the ball 40 times in an attempt to beat the San Francisco 49ers, but that could also be a losing strategy.

The 49ers just gave up a 100-yard performance to Aaron Jones in the divisional round and the Lions can run the ball well behind Penei Sewell and Co.

David Montgomery has at least 10 carries in his last 11 appearances and there’s only been one game in which he hasn’t had a double-digit total in carries.

Montgomery has been over 40 yards in all but two of those games, so if the Lions stick to their offensive game plan, Montgomery should hit, or at least come close, to his rushing prop.

 

George Kittle over/under 61.5 receiving yards

Betting on any 49ers player this week is a gigantic pain in the ass.

Deebo Samuel’s expected absence inflated all of the props for Christian McCaffrey, Brandon Aiyuk, and George Kittle.

Kittle’s receiving yard prop is the best of the group because the Lions struggle with defending the middle of the field. Detroit allowed 65 yards on five receptions to Cade Otton last week and they conceded the most receiving yards to opposing tight ends in the regular season of the four conference championship participants.

Kittle had 81 yards on four catches last week, a game played mostly without Samuel, and he has over 80 yards in two of his last three playoff games.