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Sixers vs. Warriors Betting Odds, Picks, Prediction (December 11, 2021)

By Philip Keidel

Published: Dec 11th, 2021 · 10:50 AM EST

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On Saturday night, the Sixers will welcome the Golden State Warriors to the Wells Fargo Center. The Sixers fell to 14-12 with a 22-point loss to the Utah Jazz on Thursday night. The Warriors are among the NBA’s best teams at 21-4 after beating the Portland Trail Blazers by 10 points on Wednesday night. Tonight’s game with the Sixers is the first game of a five-city road trip for the Warriors.

Let’s get into our Sixers vs. Warriors betting pick with player prop predictions, odds, and analysis for this December 11, 2021 matchup.

Sixers vs. Warriors Betting Pick (December 11, 2021)

Stephen Curry enters this game against the Sixers needing ten three-point field goals to break Ray Allen’s NBA record of 2,973 triples. Curry’s feat, which we’re going to concede here that he’ll eventually achieve, is all the more remarkable when you consider the two closest snipers to him. Allen made 2,973 three-pointers in 1,300 career games. Reggie Miller made 2,560 treys in 1,389 games. Curry will be playing just his 787th career game against the Sixers.

Records are made to be broken, but there are some sports records that just aren’t ever going to fall. 

In baseball, Cy Young won 511 games, and the next highest total is Walter Johnson’s 417. Frankly, if Young had never existed, Johnson would probably have an unbeatable total because of the way starting pitching has devolved over time. The likelihood of a starting pitcher making 511 starts in a career any more is remote, much less pitching enough innings in those starts to qualify for a win. Young’s record is the safest of them all.

In hockey, Wayne Gretzky finished his career with 2,857 points. The next highest scorer is Jaromir Jagr…with 1,921. This total will never be caught unless there are numerous rule changes to open the game up. On second thought, Gretzky’s record is probably just as safe as Young’s is in baseball. 

In football, Emmitt Smith has the rushing record with 18,355 yards. The only active name in the top 25 is Adrian Peterson, and he’s over 3,300 yards behind Smith. No running back is apt to catch Smith because the NFL is so pass-heavy now, to say nothing of the fact that the average career length for an NFL running back these days is barely over two and a half years. No one is getting to Smith’s record, either.

Getting it back to Curry, it is tempting to say that, eventually, Curry will make enough three-point field goals to put his own record well and comfortably out of reach. And it’s true that the game has never seen a distance shooter as great as Curry is. But there are two reasons why, no matter where Curry’s three-point record ends up, someone is going to have a chance to break it.

The first is Curry himself. He’s already 33 years old. Unlike most of today’s young star basketball players, Curry spent three years in college. It would be ridiculous to say that those collegiate seasons hurt him in any way. Far from it – by the end of his junior year at Davidson, he had transformed himself from an undersized curiosity who took a lot of deep jump shots to the seventh pick in the 2009 NBA Draft. Still, none of those shots he made at Davidson are helping him set this record now. For that matter, it will be interesting to see how much longer Curry wants to play. He is under contract with the Warriors through 2026. At the end of that deal, he’ll be 38 years old. Will he still be able to play at a high level? Will he still want to?

The second is, ironically, the waves and waves of bombers that Curry’s emergence created behind him. Today’s basketball prodigy (those shorter than, say, 6’8”) has been weaned on thinking that a corner three-point shot is better than a layup and that taking six or seven or ten three-pointers in a game isn’t being a selfish glory hound. And the game itself has seen the three-point shot become the weapon that championship teams are built around far more than any center or power forward. 

Maybe Curry’s record, when he retires, will prove unbeatable. If it does get broken, though, he’ll really only have himself to blame.

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Sixers vs. Warriors Odds

Here’s the line for the Sixers and Warriors at FanDuel Sportsbook:

• Point Spread: Sixers +2 (-114), Warriors -2 (-106)
• Moneyline: Sixers +106, Warriors -124
• Total: 214.5

Bets We Like With a Sixers Win

Sixers to Win and Under 214.5 Total Points (+268, FanDuel Sportsbook)

As with the game against the Jazz on Thursday night, the Sixers moneyline is an absolute stay-away in this game. It really wasn’t that long ago that the Sixers were a difficult matchup for the Warriors. But that was when the Sixers still had Ben Simmons doing great defensive work and had a much deeper bench. These days, the Sixers generally look good for about eight minutes, then the starters sit and things quickly break down. The Sixers’ best hope of winning this game is a terrible shooting night from Curry and some disinterest from the Warriors who may be looking ahead to the four other games on this long road trip and, further down the road, their Christmas Day matchup with the Phoenix Suns.

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Bets We Like Independent of Outcome

Stephen Curry Over 6.5 Three-Point Field Goals Made (-105, Caesars Sportsbook)

The Sixers can hope for an off night from Curry, but they’re probably not going to get it. Curry is obviously motivated to set the all-time three-point record as quickly as he can. He needs 10 more going into this game. Is he going to hit 10 threes in this game? Probably not. But he has hit 24 in his past four games. The foregoing data points inform this prop, as does the fact that the Sixers gave up 15 threes to the Warriors a couple of weeks ago, and Curry had six of them.

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Joel Embiid Under 25.5 Points (-120, DraftKings Sportsbook)

A wise man once said that not everyone can carry the weight of the world. Watching Joel Embiid play basketball these days, you could be excused from imagining that his slumped shoulders and aching back are caused by the impossible weight he is being asked to carry in the absence of a. Ben Simmons and b. a reliable backup center. Embiid surely can see as well as you and everyone else that the only chance his team has to win relies on him playing at a superhuman level. Embiid can do that against mediocre and bad opposition. Against talented, well-coached teams, Embiid simply isn’t given the opportunity to do it.

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Warriors Over 107.5 Points (-110, FOX Bet)

The Warriors aren’t the wild, unstoppable and free-scoring squad that rampaged through the Association and won three titles in four years — the year in those four they didn’t win the title, they won 73 regular season games. These Warriors have a little bit more “show them just enough to win” in them. Curry isn’t getting younger, Kevin Durant is long gone, and Andrew Wiggins isn’t Klay Thompson. But the Warriors are still more than capable of scoring at a healthy clip against teams that struggle to defend the perimeter, like the Sixers. The Jazz beat the over prop easily on Thursday night, and the Warriors project to do the same here.

Sixers vs. Warriors Prediction

The Sixers’ loss to the Jazz on Thursday night was one of those losses that only counted for one in the standings but felt like it was more damaging and more revelatory than a single loss. The Jazz did more or less whatever they wanted to on Thursday night, and didn’t even play especially well. They missed seven free throws, they shot a fairly pedestrian 37.5% from three-point range, and they won by 22. The gulf between very good teams and the Sixers right now is far wider than the spreads of their games are reflecting. Take advantage of it while you can.

Pick: Warriors -1 (-113, Barstool Sportsbook)

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