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Phillies

Cristopher Sanchez to the Rescue? Rinse, Repeat as Cubs Come to Town

Chris Wright

By Chris Wright

Published:

Kyle Schwarber hopes to stay hot vs. his former team.
Kyle Ross-Imagn Images

Want some good news? The 2008 Phillies started 7-8, too.

Time will tell whether this season ends as happily as that one but, for now, we’ll take optimism wherever we can find it.

It sure beats waiting on Alec Bohm to come around — or listening to the nonstop negativity after the Phils lost their second consecutive series. Ah, April baseball, where half of Delco is planning a Broad Street parade and the other half is calling WIP from a Wawa parking lot to mash the panic button. Bottom line? It’s early. Far too early to draw conclusions, even if the run-it-back jokes you hear every day equal the Phillies’ LOB total. You know. I know it.

The 2011 Phillies started 10-5, finished 102-60, provided almost no time to doubt … and flamed out in the NLDS.

The grind never ends, and it continues tonight when the Phillies welcome the Cubs to the Bank.

Cristopher Sanchez (1-1, 1.65 ERA) will throw the first pitch at 6:40 pm, ET. Sanchez hasn’t had a lot of success vs. the Cubs, allowing 10 earned runs in 8.2 innings, spread across 2 starts (0-1 record) in 2024. He didn’t face them last season. Cubs starter Javier Assad has only been marginally better vs. the Phillies. He’s 1-1 with a 5.84 ERA in 3 starts. He gave up 3 home runs in his only start at the Bank, also in 2024.

Can Sanchez stop another slide? In 2025, Sanchez was 7-4 with a 2.18 ERA in 16 starts following a Phillies loss. The team went 10-6 in those games.

Let’s dive into the PA sports betting numbers and find the best bets while Topper tries to find the best lineup.

Phillies vs Cubs Odds

Javier Assad vs Cristopher Sánchez 2026 Stats

PitcherW-LERAWHIPFIPxFIPK/9BAA
Assad (CHC)1-00.000.533.124.264.76.059
Sánchez (PHI)2-11.651.351.041.9812.67.277

Javier Assad vs Phillies

GIPHERHRBBKERAWHIP
312.11583785.841.784

Phillies Hitters vs Javier Assad

PlayerPAABHHRRBIAVGOPS
Kyle Schwarber85200.4001.225
Bryce Harper76300.5001.071
Brandon Marsh54000.000.200
J.T. Realmuto54000.000.200
Trea Turner55111.2001.000
Bryson Stott44202.5001.250
Alec Bohm33000.000.000
Dylan Moore22100.5001.000
Adolis García11000.000.000

Cristopher Sanchez vs Cubs

GIPHERHRBBKERAWHIP
28.2121024710.381.846

Cubs Hitters vs Cristopher Sanchez

PlayerPAABHHRRBIAVGOPS
Dansby Swanson63000.000.500
Ian Happ55213.4001.400
Nico Hoerner55214.4001.400
Alex Bregman44100.250.500
Dylan Carlson33100.333.667
Michael Conforto32000.000.333
Seiya Suzuki322001.0002.000
Miguel Amaya22000.000.000
Pete Crow-Armstrong22000.000.000

Phillies vs. Cubs Predictions: Why the Under is the Smart Play

If you’re heading down to South Philly expecting an offensive fireworks show, you might want to seriously adjust your expectations.

The Pick: Under 8.5 Runs (-106 on DraftKings)

We are using a DraftKings promo code and confidently taking the Under because … well, have you seen these offenses lately?

The Phillies have a -16 run differential — and while you might want to blame that on the staff, the offense owns this one. The Phils have scored 53 runs in 15 games. Only 2 MLB teams have scored fewer.

At home, they’re hitting a meager .222 and generating just 3.78 runs per game. Not exactly the juggernaut offense everyone paid to see. Meanwhile, the Cubs are faring even worse on the road, swinging what look like wet pool noodles to the tune of a .213 away batting average.

Factoring in that Philadelphia games have hit the Under exactly 60.00% of the time over their recent stretch, banking on a low-scoring grind is simply the smartest situational value play on the board. Grab a cheesesteak, sit back, and enjoy what will inevitably be a glorious parade of groundouts and harmless pop-ups.

Kyle Schwarber Over 0.5 Home Runs (+320 at DraftKings)

If you read our game preview and still feel the overwhelming urge to invest your hard-earned cash in the local offense today, I can only admire your reckless bravery. But Schwarber has a proven track record against his former team, and we’ve already called one of his homers this season.

Schwarber is hit or miss. Literally. If he does happen to make contact instead of adding to his 24 strikeouts, it’s probably not going to be a seeing-eye single up the middle. With four home runs already on his resume this April, when he connects, that baseball is entering orbit. Throw a little pizza money on the Schwarbomb. If Assad makes one mistake and leaves a breaking ball hanging over the plate, Schwarber will turn it into a souvenir for someone in the second deck in right field.

Kyle Schwarber Hitting vs Cubs

GPAABH2B3BHRRBIBBSOAVGOPS
251098615508152033.174.860

A Final Thought after 15 Games …

Relax, OK?

SeasonRecordFinal RecordPlayoffs
20259-696-66L NLDS
20248-795-67L NLDS
20235-1090-72L NLCS
20226-987-75L WS
20218-782-80
20206-928-32
20199-681-81
20189-680-82
20176-966-96
20166-971-91
20155-1063-99
20147-873-89
20136-973-89
20127-881-81
201110-5102-60L NLDS
201010-597-65L NLCS
20097-893-69L WS
20087-892-70World Series Champ
Chris Wright

Chris Wright is a 30-time APSE award-winning MLB, NBA and college editor with previous stints at the Tampa Bay Times, Miami Herald, The Indianapolis Star and News & Observer. He vacationed at the Vet, believes Chase Utley is a HOFer and moved to Clearwater to watch the Phillies year-round. His magazine portfolio includes working as a writer and editor at Baseball America. He has decades of experience leading award-winning coverage of the NBA, Major League Baseball, College Baseball, College Basketball, College Football, and the ATP and WTA tennis tours. He has contributed to highly successful NFL coverage as well. Over the course of his career, Chris' team of writers has covered 4 men's Final Fours, 2 Super Bowls, 1 MLB World Series, dozens of professional tennis tournaments and NCAA championships in football and baseball. Chris joined Saturday Down South in 2015 and quickly was promoted to Executive Editor, where he successfully helped build the staff and directed college football, college basketball and college baseball coverage for 10 years. Under Chris' leadership and mentoring, Saturday Down South grew into the largest SEC-only website in America. In 2025, Chris took on a new challenge as the Evergreen Editor at SportRadar, primarily building and maintaining pages for Saturday Down South. In addition to overseeing that project, Chris also uses AI tools to cover MLB, the NBA, college sports, tennis and the NFL for Saturday Down South, Saturday Tradition, Crossing Broad, Sports Betting Dime and ESNY.

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