Premier League Betting Guide For Week 3

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PA online sports betting has another exciting slate of Premier League betting options to play this week. If you were with us last week, you know that we had three winners. We will again be looking for value this week. We don’t mind the wins, though.

Last week’s dominant story was the Video Assistant Referee denying Manchester City a late winner against Tottenham Hotspur:

Pour one out for all the City bettors who had them at -310 and thought that bet — which I hated by the way — was going to come through after all. Whatever you think about video review in the Premier League, you’re going to need to get comfortable with it because it’s not going anywhere. Why the Premier League would voluntarily become more like the NFL, where you don’t know whether a score will count until some twerp in front of a screen confirms it, is really hard to understand. But here we are.

The Week 2 slate of matches went more or less to form, unless you consider City’s hard luck draw an “upset.” Liverpool and Arsenal beat inferior opposition, while both Chelsea and Manchester United drew with worthy adversaries. None of it was unforeseeable. This week’s offerings present a far more significant challenge; you need to look fairly closely to see where the value lies. These lines can be found at FanDuel Sportsbook PA. Remember to take advantage of FanDuel Sportsbook’s $500 risk-free bet for new users if you’re looking to place some wagers.

For those Premier League fans in New Jersey, be sure to check out our updated NJ online sports betting page. It’s loaded with great promos, bonuses, and free bet options.

NORWICH CITY (+320) v. CHELSEA (-125) — DRAW (+290)

The way Chelsea has started this season, manager Frank Lampard could be forgiven for considering putting himself in the XI. The Blues were crushed by Manchester United 4-0 in the league opener. They flew to Istanbul to play Liverpool in the UEFA Super Cup, where they lost on penalties. And last week, Chelsea blew a lead at home to draw with Leicester City. Meanwhile, Norwich City bounced back from a season-opening beating at Liverpool to beat Newcastle last Saturday.

And yet…look at that line. Chelsea is favored outright. Norwich isn’t being given a look even to draw. Why?

Because for all of their failings, Chelsea routinely beat (and occasionally humiliate) much lesser competition. Fulham, Huddersfield Town and Cardiff City were relegated after last season. Chelsea won all six of those league matches, including a 3-0 decision at Huddersfield Town. Norwich City, a newly promoted team, beat a relegation-bound Newcastle United last week. Chelsea is an entirely different test.

Bottom line: If these two sides had opened as expected, with Norwich having the one point (or less) through two league matches and Chelsea having at least three points now rather than vice versa, this line would be something like Chelsea -175. This is a rare chance to grab a clearly superior side at a good price.

WOLVERHAMPTON (-125) v. BURNLEY (+400) — DRAW (+230)

That was nice work from Wolverhampton, flying to Turin for a Europa League match on Thursday and getting a road win. It sets Wolves up nicely for the second leg at home on Thursday. That’s the good news.

The bad news for Wolves is that they only have two days between that high-stakes match on the European continent and this league match with a Burnley side that a. has had a full week’s rest and b. followed a win in their league opener with a close loss at Arsenal on Saturday. Combine the travel toll on Wolves with the simple fact that this is basically the definition of a trap game, and Burnley is the play here.

BUT…don’t take them to win or draw. Rather, scroll down to “Double Chance” and note that “Burnley and Draw” is there at -110.

Parlay

LIVERPOOL (-195) v. ARSENAL (+480) — DRAW (+350)

TOTTENHAM HOTSPUR (-400) v. NEWCASTLE UNITED (+1000) — DRAW (+500)

BOURNEMOUTH (+1100) v. MANCHESTER CITY (-550) — DRAW (+650)

Klopp is right. City’s early stumble at home to Spurs last week has given Liverpool a two-point head-start over Pep Guardiola’s men. Arsenal can also dare to dream, having started with two straight wins. Perhaps the most telling stat is that Liverpool and Arsenal are the only two teams to begin with two wins — every other side in the league has already dropped points. So, at least for a while, this could be a pig pile at the top of the league table.

That means that none of these favorites (Liverpool, City, Spurs) can afford to give anything away, especially not this weekend with both Liverpool and Tottenham at home and City stinging from last week’s draw. None of them is an especially attractive favorite, so you know what’s coming.

It’s parlay time.

A 3 Team Parlay of Liverpool, Manchester City and Tottenham Hotspur will pay +123 if they all win. That’s better than even money that three of last season’s most dominant sides, i.e., the two Champions League finalists and the defending league champion, will hold serve. Which one of them will screw it up for you? Well, that’s half the fun, isn’t it?

Best of luck this weekend.

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3 Responses

    1. 6-3 so far this season. To be clear, we have decided editorially to shift this from a pure picks column to a value column, i.e., what bets are giving you a decent return. But if you keep commenting, I’ll keep updating the total here. I’m not afraid.

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