The Philadelphia Eagles (4-4) and Chicago Bears (3-4) meet at Lincoln Financial Field this afternoon for an important NFC showdown. There figures to be a ton of action on this game across PA online sportsbooks, so let’s take a look at the best odds, top bet boosts, and some historical trends before getting into our Eagles-Bears betting predictions.

For the Bears, the more things change, the more they stay the same.

When these two teams last met in January it was then-Bears kicker Cody Parkey double-doinking Chicago’s season down the drain. Last week, with an opportunity to weather what has been a turbulent start and climb above .500, new Bears kicker Eddie Pineiro missed a 41-yard game-winning field goal attempt that allowed the Chargers to escape Soldier Field with a 17-16 win.

While the Bears’ continued kicking woes are grabbing many of the headlines, their struggles this season have extended well beyond their inability to split the uprights in key situations. Quarterback Mitch Trubisky, who provides an adventure with every drop back, has struggled, leading the Bears to only 18.3 points per game. In fact, Chicago has failed to eclipse the 20-point mark in four of their seven games this season.

As for the Eagles, some much-needed life was breathed into their season after a huge 31-13 blowout win in Buffalo a week ago, giving them an opportunity to climb over .500 with a win today and, in turn, setting up a two-team race in the NFC East down the stretch with the Cowboys.

Which one of these inconsistent preseason NFC favorites will grab the win (and the cover) this afternoon? Let’s get into it.

How to Bet on Eagles vs. Bears

Pennsylvania

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We recommend FOX Bet PA because of its $20 sign-up bonus and $100 deposit match that you can grab right here.

Over at FanDuel Sportsbook PA, they continue to run a $500 risk-free bet offer for new users and a Close Loss Insurance of up to $50 on all moneyline wagers that lose by six points or less. That deal could come in handy today.

New Jersey

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For those of you in the state of New Jersey, check our comprehensive NJ online sports betting page that is stocked with sportsbook reviews, welcome offers, and sign-up bonuses.

Indiana

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The best wagering option for Indiana online sports betting is DraftKings Sportsbook Indiana, which is offering a strong $200 first-bet match available to new users right here. FanDuel Sportsbook IN is now also live and offering a generous $500 risk-free first bet.

 

How to Watch Eagles vs. Bears

  • Date: Sunday, November 3
  • Time: 1:00 p.m. EST
  • Location: Lincoln Financial Field (Philadelphia, PA)
  • Network: FOX
  • Announcers: Dick Stockton (play-by-play), Mark Schlereth (analyst), and Jennifer Hale (sideline)
  • Radio: 94 WIP (Philadelphia), WBBM 780 AM (Chicago)

 

Eagles vs. Bears Weather

Temperatures at kickoff are expected to be right around 50 degrees under sunny skies and remain there through the fourth quarter. It will be breezy with winds from the northwest averaging 12 mph, which, gulp, could have a mild impact on the kicking games.

 

Eagles vs. Bears Odds

Here are the current Eagles vs. Bears betting odds at some of the top legal online sportsbooks as of 9:00 a.m. Sunday morning:

FOX Bet

      Spread     Money        Total
Bears      +4 (-110)     +175   O 41 (-110)
Eagles      -4 (-110)     -212   U 41 (-110)

DraftKings Sportsbook

      Spread     Money        Total
Bears      +4 (-110)   +175   O 41.5 (-110)
Eagles     -4 (-110)   -200   U 41.5 (-110)

 

Win Probability

Let’s check out FiveThirtyEight’s ELO point spread projection to see how it stacks up with current legal sportsbook odds.

Why?

ELO and similar projection models aren’t a perfect science, but it’s a worthwhile exercise to evaluate multiple sources for pronounced disparities between the betting odds and projection models in search of potential betting value.

As for today’s game, the ELO projection model has the Eagles favored by four points and with a 64% win probability. With Philadelphia currently favored between four points at most sportsbooks, the ELO projection is right in line with that price. This rarely occurs.

Meanwhile, the implied win probability of FanDuel’s -210 moneyline odds on the Eagles is 67.7%, which means that the moneyline price is a shade more expensive than what the ELO projection would suggest (-178 would be in line with a 64% win probability).

As for the Bears, the implied win probability of their +180 moneyline odds at FanDuel is 35.7%, meaning their moneyline market is right in line with the ELO number.

 

Eagles vs. Bears Injury Report

Eagles Injury Report

After sustaining a number of key injuries earlier in the season, it appears the Eagles are finally getting healthier:

Left tackle Jason Peters and wide linebacker Nigel Bradham will again be out, but the Eagles will get back corner Avonte Maddox and running back Darren Sproles. They may also get back defensive tackle Tim Jernigan and wide receiver DeSean Jackson. Jackson indicated to reporters on Friday afternoon that he intends to play, which obviously would provide a significant boost to a passing offense that has been missing boom plays like this one in his absence:

Bears Injury Report

The Bears come into this game relatively healthy. They will be without backup linebacker Isaiah Irving. More notably, defensive tackle Akiem Hicks, who was hurt earlier this season against the Raiders, is on injured reserve. The Bears have struggled to replace his production along the interior of their defensive line.

 

Eagles vs. Bears: Five Things to Know

  • The Eagles are 3-0 against the Bears under Doug Pederson (2-0 at Lincoln Financial Field).
  • Former Bears running back Jordan Howard, who is the NFL’s second leading rusher since 2016, turned 25 yesterday and is looking to follow up his 23 carry, 96 yard performance a week ago with a similar effort against Chicago’s No. 6 rushing defense (86 yards per game).
  • At 22-7 (.759), the Eagles are tied for the NFL’s second-best home winning percentage since the start of the 2016 season.
  • With a 49.1% conversion percentage, the Eagles have the NFL’s second-best third down offense this season. Meanwhile, the Bears have the the league’s No. 26 third down offense, converting only 32.6% of their opportunities.
  • Carson Wentz (70) has the NFL’s sixth-best QBR this season. Mitchell Trubisky (35.7) has the league’s 29th QBR.

 

Recommended Prop Bets

FOX Bet is offering nine different bet boosts on this game, including:

  • Zach Ertz to score a TD in the first quarter (+550 boosted to +650)
  • Eagles to win by 1-6 points (+275 boosted to +333)
  • Exact score: Eagles 23-Bears 17 (+6600 boosted to +8000)
  • Ertz to score game’s 1st TD (+750 boosted to +850)

I like all things related to Ertz today, assuming Jackson plays, which should open things up for the suddenly struggling tight end.

Obviously, these are long-shot plays, but I think there’s some value here. He’s simply too valuable to this offense and has been too quiet over the last three weeks. I think the Eagles will look to get him involved early on, so both of his props are worth a look.

 

Eagles vs. Bears Betting Trends

Note: All trends date back to the start of the 2003 season, unless otherwise noted.

Why Backing the Eagles is a Good Bet

Good Against Bad

The Eagles are 5-1 ATS at home when playing a team scoring 19 points per game or less and 7-3 ATS at home when playing an opponent averaging 20 points per game or less.

Sweet Spots

  • Home favorites of 4-5 points that are coming off a road win of 14+ points are 27-12 ATS overall and 16-4 ATS when facing non-division opponents.
  • When a road underdog has lost and failed to cover in three straight games and is playing a team coming off a 10+ point win, such teams are only 8-13 ATS.
  • This is an interesting one. In rematches of the previous year’s playoffs, teams that won by two points or less and are favored the following season are 11-2 ATS. So you can throw the close-loss revenge angle out.

Why Backing the Bears is a Good Bet

Mitch Trubisky? Really?

The Bears are 9-4-1 ATS when Trubisky starts as an underdog and 5-3 ATS as a road underdog.

The Eagles’ Struggles at Home Covering the Spread

  • The Eagles are only 4-6 ATS at home when favored between 4 to 6.5 points under Doug Pederson.
  • Carson Wentz is only 2-7 ATS over his last nine starts at Lincoln Financial Field. One of those covers came in the Eagles’ previous home game, a blowout win over the Jets.

Homecoming Struggles

All home teams coming off three straight road games are only 22-30-5 ATS. Teams favored after three consecutive road games are 15-17-2 ATS.

Home favorites of 4.5 to 6.5 points that are coming off a win of 14+ points that are playing a team coming off a loss are only 19-27 ATS.

Something Has Got to Give

Road underdogs on a three-game losing streak are 90-71-1 ATS overall and 71-57-1 ATS in conference games. Road underdogs between exactly 4-5 points are 10-3 ATS when on a three-game losing streak.

 

A Word on the Total

Doug Pederson’s Eagles at home and the under has been a great play dating back to his first season.

The under is 18-9 at Lincoln Financial Field and 14-3 in non-division games.

The under is also 25-17 when the home team is coming off a game in which they scored 30-35 points and the road team scored 17 points or less. It’s 18-11 when both teams are in the same conference.

 

Eagles vs. Bears Prediction

It’s time to make an Eagles vs. Bears prediction.

If you stack up the trends in this one, the Bears probably get the nod. And that makes sense, particularly given their superior defense. But…

  1. The Eagles’ run game appears to have found some traction. They should be able to move the ball with some success on the Bears’ defensive front in the absence of Akiem Hicks. While Chicago has the league’s No. 6 overall run defense, it did allow 169 yards on the ground to Oakland and 151 yards to New Orleans. It’s not the impenetrable unit it was a season ago.
  2. The quarterbacks. If Carson Wentz is who Carson Wentz is supposed to be, then I have to go with him at home over a struggling quarterback that appears one more poor start away from finding himself on the bench.
  3. If Jackson plays, the Eagles will get back an element of their offense that has been sorely missed over the last two months.

Ultimately, I think the Eagles found something a week ago in Buffalo and will ride that momentum into the bye week with a win and cover.

Prediction: Eagles (-4) over Bears