The final Sunday of November is upon us and the NFL playoff push is beginning to heat up. As always, there’s plenty of promos, bet boosts, and sign up bonuses to take advantage of at PA online sportsbooks, so let’s run through some of today’s slate with our top NFL Week 12 picks.

All odds are courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook PA.

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Seahawks at Eagles

Line: Eagles -1, Over/Under 45.5 (1:00 P.M. FOX)

You can check out our full Eagles vs. Seahawks betting preview, but here’s the short of it. The Seahawks have thrived as a small underdog with Russell Wilson at quarterback. They are 12-4-2 ATS as an underdog of three points or less in Wilson’s starts and 5-1 ATS as a dog of three points or less in his starts during November and December. Still, pacific timezone teams coming off a bye week are only 3-7 ATS and 2-8 SU in the eastern timezone during the month of November or later. They’re 1-4 ATS and 0-5 SU as an underdog.

Pick: Eagles (-1) over Seahawks

Steelers at Bengals

Line: Steelers -6.5, Over/Under 37.5 (1:00 P.M. CBS)

We also have a full Steelers vs. Bengals betting preview. The Bengals are the NFL’s only winless team, but the Steelers’ struggling offense will be without James Conner and JuJu Smith-Schuster this week. Also keep in mind that the Steelers are only 8-16-1 ATS against teams under .500 during Mike Tomlin’s tenure during the months of November and December, including 4-9-1 ATS in these two months against such teams since the start of the 2014 season.

As for the total, the over is 107-80-2 in division games played in November or later when the total is set between 37.5-39 points and 8-4 in AFC North games.

Pick: Steelers and Bengals to go Over 37.5 points

Cowboys at Patriots

Line: Patriots -5, Over/Under 44 (4:25 P.M. FOX)

Fishy, fishy. The line has dropped from Patriots -6.5 earlier in the week all the way down -5. Wind and rain are expected in New England late Sunday afternoon, which means the run games will come into focus. Advantage: Cowboys. Yes, the Patriots are 15-0 in their last 15 home games when favored by at least five points, but Dallas looks more than capable of putting up a fight here.

Pick: Cowboys (+5) over Patriots

Panthers at Saints

Line: Saints (-9.5), Over/Under 46 (1:00 P.M. FOX)

The Panthers will look to bounce back from an unexpected 29-3 blowout loss last week at home against the Falcons. It won’t be easy against a Saints squad that overcame a sluggish start on the road at Tampa Bay last week to paste the Bucs by a 34-17 final. The Saints are 7-3 SU and ATS in their last 10 division home games, while the Panthers are 8-2 ATS over their last 10 games when underdogs of 7+ points.

As for the total, division unders late in the season are always a solid play, and with the total falling two points throughout the week, we’ll take a shot on it here.

Pick: Saints and Panthers to go Under 46 points

Giants at Bears

Line: Bears (-6), Over/Under 43 (1:00 P.M. FOX)

Who are the Bears to be laying six points to anybody, right? Quarterback Mitch Trubisky will play after leaving late in last loss to the Rams, but I’m not sure that’s an upgrade over Chase Daniel at this point. The Bears and Giants are each 1-5 ATS in their last six games, while the Giants are on a six-game losing streak. Here’s the thing–the money is on the Giants, and I simply don’t trust Daniel Jones, who is a turnover machine, to go on the road and play sound, efficient football against what is still an above average defense. I also like that the public is backing New York in this one.

Pick: Bears (-6) over Giants

Buccaneers vs. Falcons

Line: Falcons (-3.5), Over/Under 51.5 (1:00 P.M. FOX)

This total was sitting in the 54 range earlier in the week, but big bettors have pushed it down to 51.5 as of Sunday morning. Again, we like division under plays late in the season and Atlanta’s defense has been ascending in recent weeks. The under is 17-12 in NFC South games with a total set at 51 or more in November or later since the 2003 season, while it is 75-53-3 (roughly 58%) in all NFC South games played in November or later.

You never know what you’re going to get with either of these teams on any given week, so we’ll pass on the side and go with the under.

Pick: Falcons and Bucs to go Under 51.5 points

Broncos at Bills

Line: Bills (-3.5), Over/Under 37 (1:00 P.M. CBS)

The Broncos have suffered some tough losses on the road over the last month. Go back to late October when they dropped a 15-13 heartbreaker in Indianapolis and just last week when they blew a 20-0 lead at Minnesota. Still, within those losses against two solid opponents were glimpses of a stellar defense that should be able to make enough plays against what is a mediocre at best Buffalo offense. Denver is allowing only 3.9 yards carry this season, which will put the onus on Josh Allen to make plays down the field. Meanwhile, Denver should be able to run the football against what is just an average Bills run defense that is yielding 4.4 yards per attempt this season. Records aside, I’m not so sure these two teams are all that different, so let’s take the points.

Pick: Broncos (+3.5) over Bills

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