The Philadelphia Flyers have 20 games left in their regular season.

Despite being five points ahead of their closest competition for third place in the Metropolitan Division, they’re only -160 to qualify for the postseason at FanDuel and -145 at DraftKings.

It’s easy to scoff at that number when you look at the Sunday performances of the New Jersey Devils, Washington Capitals, and Pittsburgh Penguins, who lost by a combined total of 16 to 4. But games in hand remains a key caveat, with the Flyers still outpacing their Metro competition. They’ve played more games than anyone in the division and are one of only nine NHL teams to have played 62 or more games at this point in the season.

The New York Islanders are the only competent-looking team close to the Flyers right now, and after they host the St. Louis Blues on Tuesday night, they play five of their next six on the road. The Isles are only 12-12-5 on the road this season.

With that being said, the Flyers just have to keep winning, especially at home, to extend their advantage, and that starts against the Blues at the Wells Fargo Center on Monday night.

The Blues come into South Philly on a four-game road losing streak in which they conceded 17 goals and failed to score more than two goals each time.

The Flyers only have three losses this season when they hold an opponent to two goals or fewer. They’re 26-3 in those types of games, only five of them went to overtime and the Flyers won four of those overtime tilts.

It just so happens that trend is relevant to Monday’s game because the Flyers beat the Blues 4-2 in St. Louis back on January 15th.

The Flyers put 42 shots on the Blues’ net in that matchup, a good sign they can keep up the momentum from the 40-shot outing against the Ottawa Senators on Saturday.

Owen Tippett had a whopping 10 shots on goal in the January win over the Blues. Tippett’s shots on goal prop sits at 3.5, but he’s only eclipsed that mark once in the last four games. I assume part of that has to do with Travis Konecny being hurt and Tippett being the marked man. Konecny will not play again on Monday, but he was on the ice at practice, so that’s a promising sign.

However, St. Louis gives up the second-most shots on goal per game to left wingers. Tippett and Joel Farabee would be the primary betting targets to take advantage of that stat. The Blues also allowed the eighth-most SOG to centers and left wingers in the last 10 games, which makes Sean Couturier and Morgan Frost potential prop targets.

If you prefer to begin your NJ sports betting and PA sports betting week with the Flyers, they’re -142 on the money line and +170 on the puck line. They’ve covered the puck line in each of their last four victories. Five of St. Louis’ last six losses were by multiple goals.