Phillies Offense Could Have Field Day in Series Opener with Rockies
The Philadelphia Phillies face one of the worst starting pitchers in all of Major League Baseball on Monday night.
Colorado Rockies pitcher Cal Quantrill allowed 21 hits, 12 earned runs, four homers, and walked five batters in 15 innings in 2024.
With Aaron Nola and the Phillies sluggers on the other end of the matchup, it’s no surprise to see the Phillies as a whopping -265 favorite on the money line at Pennsylvania sportsbook apps and NJ sports betting apps.
Kyle Schwarber, Trea Turner and Nick Castellanos have all homered off Quantrill in limited head-to-head action. Schwarbs has three homers in 11 at-bats against Quantrill.
Schwarber has some ghastly odds to hit a home run in an April baseball game. DraftKings listed him at +160 and FanDuel has him at +190. That’s by far the lowest home run odds for a Phillies player this season.
Turner owns the lowest total bases odds on the props board. DK lists him at -150 to go over 1.5 total bases, while FD lists him at -130.
Schwarber and Turner will be the obvious picks to bet on Monday, but the ideal option could be the best power hitter in the Phillies lineup to start the 2024 season.
Yeah you got it, it’s Brandon Marsh season.
Marsh leads the Phillies with four home runs and is tied for second in hits with Schwarber. He’s 2-for-5 in his career against Quantrill.
Marsh also leads the Phillies in hits against right-handed pitching, with 12.
He’s only -190 to record a hit at FD, which feels like a steal given how much the Phillies can take advantage of this specific matchup. Marsh is +140 to have two total bases and +600 to go yard at FD. Marsh’s two hit price of +310 is even worth a look given how well he is seeing things at the dish.
A Schwarber/Turner/Marsh hit parlay pays out +130 on DK and +161 on FD. The total bases parlay sits at +679 at FD. It’s only +450 at DK.
If you think the Phillies will pepper Quantrill, the over 6.5 on his hits allowed prop sits at +120 on DK. It’s a lot of hits to give up, but Arizona got eight and nine hits off him in two of his first three appearances.
Colorado has some decent batter-versus-pitcher numbers against Nola. Most notably, Charlie Blackmon has a .407 average against him.
If you really, really like bearded men, the Duck Dynasty Blackmon/Marsh hit parlay is at plus money on FD.
Colorado sits at the bottom third of the majors in road batting average and they’re third in road strikeouts with 96. Nola only had seven strikeouts in two meetings with the Rockies last year and he has not had more than four Ks yet this season, so it might be better to bet the under 6.5 strikeouts or just him to get a win at -160.