How to Approach the Inflated Phillies Betting Lines at Coors Field
The Philadelphia Phillies should be salivating about their weekend matchup with the Colorado Rockies. They’re in the middle of an all-time heater and now get to play in one of the most hitter-friendly ballparks in the majors in Coors Field.
Additionally, the Rockies pitching staff is worn down after playing 23 innings in the last two days against the Oakland Athletics.
Colorado used four pitchers out of the bullpen on Wednesday and had six players throw on Thursday in a calamitous 10-9 loss. The Rockies were up 9-5 in the 11th and proceeded to blow a four-run lead to the A’s, not the Phillies or New York Yankees. The Athletics.
The Rockies also threw their three best starters in the Oakland series. The Phillies will only see one of Cal Quantrill, Austin Gomber, and Ryan Feltner.
Combine the Phillies hot bats with the Denver atmosphere, a tired Rockies pitching staff, and two matchups with bad starters and you have the perfect recipe for a weekend bludgeoning.
The Phillies are -205 on the money line for Friday’s series opener. That seems generous when you consider Ty Blach is coming off back-to-back starts with seven-hit concessions. He allowed six earned runs in his last appearance versus the San Francisco Giants.
All the Phils really need is five-to-six innings out of Cristopher Sanchez and a few solid innings out of the bullpen to cash the money line, and probably the run line too.
The Rockies gave up a double-digit run total in three of their last six games. They went 1-5 in that stretch and lost on the run line three times to San Francisco, who is a better example for that bet than losing to the lowly A’s by a run in two games.
But of course the odds makers know the mismatch in place.
DraftKings has all nine projected Phillies starters listed at Over/Under 1.5. Yes, even Whit Merrifield and Johan Rojas have that line attached to them. We’re living in wild times.
A one-hit parlay for the top four players in the order (Schwarber, Realmuto, Harper and Bohm) only pays out at +113 at FanDuel. Usually a four-player hit parlay is somewhere between +200 and +300.
You are going to be buying inflated lines all weekend on every Phillies hitter prop, but there’s still some value for Friday’s game at New Jersey Sportsbook apps and Pennsylvania sportsbook apps based on the pitching matchup.
Alec Bohm (+520) and Edmundo Sosa (+630) have decent home run prop numbers at FanDuel. Right-handed hitters have a whopping .404 batting average against Blach this season. Bryson Stott is even worth a look at +900 to hit a homer because he has a slightly better average against lefties.
That right there will be the story of the series. The value will only be in long-shot props for players from the No. 4 spot in the order on down. Good luck finding a normal price on Schwarber, Realmuto, or Harper for the entire series. And if you’re not feeling the odds, maybe it’s the weekend to try PA online casino or NJ online casino. If you’re in PA, don’t go in without PA online casino bonuses.