A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith have been one of the most productive wide receiver duos since they joined forces in 2022.

Both players turned in 1,000-yard seasons in 2022 and 2023 and that’s once again the baseline expectation for them in 2024.

Brown, who has consecutive 1,400-yard campaigns, has a season-long over/under of 1,225.5 receiving yards. He sits at +1500 to lead the NFL and is sixth on the odds board behind Tyreek Hill, CeeDee Lamb, Amon-Ra St. Brown, Justin Jefferson, and JaMarr Chase.

The Eagles’ top pass-catcher clocks in at fifth on the odds board to lead the NFL in receiving touchdowns at +1700 behind Hill, Lamb, Garrett Wilson, and Chase.

As I detailed earlier this month with Jalen Hurts and Saquon Barkley, a ton of production is expected from the Kellen Moore offense, one that led to career-high totals for wide receivers far less talented than Brown and Smith.


Will the production under Moore be enough to lead the league in receiving? Maybe not.

Hill catches balls at a ridiculous volume in Miami, Chase has a healthy Joe Burrow and less wide receiver depth in Cincinnati with the departure of Tyler Boyd, which  could lead to a massive season.

Lamb is the primary target in Dallas and won’t split any of the big receiving games, like Brown might do once or twice in 2024 with Smith. That might be enough to keep Brown from being on top of the NFL in any categories.

His season-long receiving-yard prop seems easily attainable based on the last two seasons of 1,400-yard play and the addition of Moore’s offensive scheme.

The value on Brown in the pre-season betting market could be on his touchdowns. The over/under is set at 8.5 receiving TDs, and at certain sites you can ladder his season totals. For example, FanDuel allows you to bet on up to 12+ receiving TDs for players.

Brown and Smith each had seven touchdown catches last season, two totals that were affected by the Eagles’ effectiveness with the Tush Push in goal-line scoring situations. Barkley’s arrival could add to that ground game around the end zone.

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Smith’s receiving props sit at over/under 975.5 yards and 5.5 touchdowns. He’s had at least 900 receiving yards in each of his three NFL seasons.

A third straight 1,000-yard campaign is definitely in the cards since he and Brown see so much of the passing volume from Hurts.

The arrival of Jahan Dotson as the No. 3 wide receiver probably will not affect Brown and Smith’s totals on a weekly basis. Dallas Goedert is the bigger threat to take away yards.

The receiving yard props look far more intriguing because of all the rushing options the Eagles could use in red-zone situations.

Of course, Brown and Smith will find the end zone throughout the season, but there’s far more uncertainty regarding how many touchdowns they score compared to how many yards they’ll gain in 2024.