Eagles vs. Steelers Prop Picks and Best Bets

If you are looking to cash in on some Eagles vs. Steelers props betting on Sunday afternoon, you’re in the right spot. In a battle for Pennsylvania bragging rights, the Steelers look to remain perfect, while the Eagles simply look to become the NFC East’s only team without a losing record.

There figures to be big wagering action on this one, so let’s get into our Eagles vs. Steelers prop picks and best bets for this Week 5 matchup.

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Eagles vs. Steelers Player Props

Carson Wentz to Record 2+ Total Touchdowns (+200 odds)

This is a special boost over at DraftKings Sportsbook. Grab Wentz to record at least two total touchdowns (passing, rushing, or receiving) at +200 odds. Typically, this prop is priced at +115, so from a pure value standpoint, this is one worth a long look.

Get $1,000 in free bets and Carson Wentz to score at least two touchdowns at boosted +200 odds with DraftKings Sportsbook right here.

James Connor Over 64.5 Yards

This feels like a pretty obtainable total, particularly for a running back that has eclipsed the 100-yard mark in each of the last two weeks. After gaining just nine yards on six carries in Week 1 against the Giants, Connor has since averaged 17 rushing attempts and 107.5 yards per game.

It may be unrealistic to expect that Connor maintains the more than 6.2 yards per carry he has averaged over his last two games, particularly against the Eagles’ seventh-ranked run defense — one that has allowed only one back to eclipse the 60-yard threshold this season (Darrell Henderson had 81 yards in Week 2) — there are a few reasons to like Connor to exceed the total here:

There’s rain in the forecast. Potentially sloppy conditions may lead to an increased focused on running the football, which should increase the focus on the run game.
Injuries. Listen, T.J. Edwards isn’t an All-Pro middle linebacker, but he was the Eagles’ best option, and he’s not playing this week. Granted, Philadelphia’s interior defensive line is the team’s strength, but even if Connor averages somewhere in the neighborhood of four yards per carry with a similar workload, he will clear 64.5 yards.
He’s rested. The unexpected Week 4 bye week should help give the Steelers’ lead back some fresh legs.

Greg Ward to Score a Touchdown

Ward hauled in just four passes for a modest 38 yards last Sunday, but he should continue to get a lot of looks once again this week. It’s hard to imagine the Eagles’ offense hitting a home run for a score against a disciplined Steelers defense, and it has been a difficult task to get the ball across the goal line on the ground against this unit, too. Pittsburgh has allowed just one rushing touchdown through its first three games.

That, in part, is why I like Ward to score this week. He’s generated a combined 18 targets over the last two weeks and led Eagles receivers with seven targets against the 49ers. It’s clear that Wentz trusts Ward more than his other receivers, so I’ll grab him to score his second touchdown of the season here.

Interestingly, Ward is priced at +280 to score at FanDuel Sportsbook, but you can get him to score at +350 with DraftKings, so there’s some added value there.

Eagles vs. Steelers Best Bet

Note: Be sure to check out our full Eagles vs. Steelers betting preview.

Fun fact. The over/under split in Doug Pederson’s 68 regular seasons games as a head coach is dead even. The over has hit 34 times, the under has hit 34 times. Interestingly, however, the home/road splits are wildly disproportionate. I mean, check out these trends:

The over is 24-10 in Eagles road games since Pederson took over as head coach prior to the 2016 season.
The over is also a strong 7-1 in Eagles non-conference road games under Pederson.
A whopping 8 of 11 Pederson-coached October road games have gone over the total.
When the total closes between 44-46 points, the over is 10-2. It’s 6-1 when set between 44-45 points under Pederson.

Crazytown.

Still, there are reasons to like the under this week:

Everything is a grind for the Eagles offense right now. The return of J.J. Arcega-Whiteside isn’t likely to change that.
The Steelers and Eagles defensive units are Nos. 1 and 2 in sacks this season, respectively.
As noted above, the weather is supposed to be sloppy.

However, the Eagles showed some offensive growth a week ago, and I think both of these defenses could set up some scoring opportunities that push this game over the total. I’m going to rely on these ridiculous over betting trends and lock it in.

Eagles and Steelers to go OVER 44.5 points.