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Phillies vs. Marlins Betting Odds: Prediction and Pick (Sunday, July 26)

By Bob Wankel

Published: Jul 26th, 2020 · 10:16 AM EDT

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Let’s take a look at some Phillies vs. Marlins odds, picks, and predictions, but before we do, a quick setup of the series finale between the two teams.

The Philadelphia Phillies will try to vanquish the pesky Miami Marlins this afternoon at Citizens Bank Park. Following a listless loss in the opener, Phil Gosselin, who cranked two homers yesterday, resurrected a slow-starting offense to lift the Phillies to a 7-1 win. Today, Vince Velasquez will attempt to ride the momentum of an outstanding summer camp into his first start of the season. He will be opposed by Miami’s Jose Urena, who is coming off an unimpressive season in which he struggled against almost everybody, except for, you guessed it, the Phillies.

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Phillies Vs. Marlins Odds

Here are the current Phillies vs. Marlins odds for Sunday, July 26.

• DraftKings Sportsbook:  Phillies (-177), Marlins (+150)
• FanDuel Sportsbook: Phillies (-154), Marlins (+134)
• FOX Bet: Phillies (-162), Marlins (+137)

Meanwhile, the total is set at 9.5 runs. Reminder, the first two games of this series stayed under the total.

Please note that these prices are fluid and could (likely will) vary leading up to first pitch.

Best Phillies vs. Marlins Promos

Before we get to our Phillies vs. Marlins betting preview and pick, first let’s take a look at some of the best PA online sports betting and NJ online sports betting offers.

DraftKings Sportsbook

Today is the last day to take advantage of DraftKings Sportsbook’s MLB Opening Weekend HR Bonus. When you place a 25$ on select MLB games, get an additional $5 for each home run hit. Of course, this offer is in addition to DraftKings Sportsbook’s $1,000 first bet offer offer for new players.

FanDuel Sportsbook

FanDuel Sportsbook offers new players a $500 first bet, but is also giving all players a $100 day of bonus bets. For one day, FanDuel Sportsbook will reimburse your losses up to $100. Of course, if you win, you won’t need this offer, but it remains some good insurance to keep in your back pocket.

FanDuel Sportsbook also offers bettors seventh inning stretch insurance. If your team has a lead but blows it following the seventh inning stretch, FanDuel reimburses the bet amount up to $50. This offer is good through August 9.

FOX Bet

FOX Bet offers players $1,000 in bonus bets at sign up and also has a daily bet boost that involves the Phillies today. If the Phillies, Red Sox, and Pirates all win, grab an enhanced +600 payout.

Phillies vs. Marlins Betting Preview

Now, let’s hop into everything you need to know before betting today’s Phillies vs. Marlins series finale.

It’s All About Vince

Vince Velasquez will make his 100th career start this afternoon. There’s legitimate hope entering the season that Velasquez will finally match his considerable talent with his production. After refining his changeup and adding a cutter this offseason, Velasquez shined during the Phils’ summer camp. Today, he will have to deal with a Marlins team that gave him fits a season ago.

Velasquez pitched to a 7.06 ERA in five starts that totaled just 21.2 IP. He yielded five homers and a 1.246 WHIP to a team that won just 57 games. He was also the starting pitcher during an embarrassing collapse last season in which the Phillies quickly blew a 7-0 third inning lead in an eventual 19-11 blowout loss.

However, from a historical perspective, he has pitched well in this betting role. The Phillies are 7-2 all-time when Velasquez starts as at least a -160 favorite. They are also 8-4 in his home day starts as a favorite, including 4-1 since 2018.

Urena Had Phils’ Number Last Season

Jose Urena wasn’t particularly good last season. He was only 4-10 with a 5.10 ERA in 24 games (13 starts). However, he was excellent against the Phillies in three appearances (two starts). Urena totaled a 1.80 ERA in 15 IP while allowing 0.933 WHIP. He struck 13 Phillies hitters while walking only three. As a team, the Phillies hit just .204 against Urena last with a .672 OPS.

Phillies vs. Marlins Prediction

At one point midway through yesterday’s game, the first four hitters in the Phillies’ lineup were a collective 1 for 23. Then, Bryce Harper laid a perfect bunt down the third-base line. J.T. Realmuto then followed with a mammoth blast to center.

My guess is the Phillies, despite their issues with Urena a season ago, will use that momentum going into today’s finale. In fact, I think it will be the top-half of the lineup that finally gets going and propels them to a series victory over a Marlins squad that his given them fits in recent years. That, combined with what I expect to be a stellar start from Velasquez (famous last words, I know), should push the Phillies to a series victory before they welcome the Yankees to town.

Phillies vs. Marlins Pick

I’ll take the Phillies on the moneyline this afternoon.